CA-23 House winner?
97%Jay Obernolte
- Jay Obernolte97%
- Tessa Lynn Hodge2%▼ 1
Install
NC-05 House winner?
The odds
96%Chuck Hubbard
- Chuck Hubbard96%
- Virginia Foxx4%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Chuck Hubbard: 12% on Oct 20, 96% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 4, 11 PM ETChuck Hubbard: 19% → 92%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Hubbard | 96% | 96¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 304.2K | |
| Virginia Foxx | 4% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 5¢ | $22.22 | 348.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NC- House, Chuck Hubbard, Virginia Foxx
Search ›- Meet Democrat Chuck Hubbard, who leads Virginia Foxx after NC electionA possible recount looms as the longtime local journalist, on his third run, edges the House Rules chair by fewer than 100 votes. A longtime journalist from northwestern North Carolina is on the verge of unseating one of the state’s most…
- Trump’s failures put Virginia Foxx’s safe seat in jeopardyWashington Examiner In 2024, Rep. Virginia Foxx (R-NC) defeated Democrat Chuck Hubbard by 75,914 votes. Two years later, Hubbard leads her by just 99. The unofficial results remain subject to outstanding ballots and a possible recount…
- Virginia Foxx's once-safe seat hangs by 99 votes as Democrat Chuck Hubbard leadsOf the six U.S. House seats in North Carolina that are on track to flip from Republican to Democrat in the 2026 election, none is more shocking than the reality that Virginia Foxx could lose her bid for a 12th term. Voters in Catawba…
- When will we know who won the Virginia Foxx–Chuck Hubbard race?GREENSBORO, N.C. — Election night ended with Democrat Chuck Hubbard leading Republican incumbent Virginia Foxx by 99 votes in North Carolina’s 5th Congressional District. But the counting process isn’t finished. County elections boards…
- Republicans Focusing on Election Integrity in Uncalled NC House RacesRepublicans are engaged in statewide election integrity efforts for several uncalled North Carolina congressional races. More than 36,000 provisional ballots will be reviewed by election officials this week before Friday’s county canvass…
- Rep. Virginia Foxx requested election observers to watch counting process of close House raceIn a race separated by 99 votes on election night, one longtime contender is not going out without a fight. The race for the 5th District of the U.S. House rests in the hands of election officials in charge of not only counting nearly…
- Virginia Foxx May Lose Her Seat in CongressBut it has seemed that Virginia Foxx doesn’t need much prompting to go on the attack generally. Her, let’s say, impatience is well-known among folks who have gotten in her way on Capitol Hill and elsewhere. Ask folks who have dared to…
- Chuck Hubbard Holds 99-Vote Lead Over Virginia Foxx in NC-5 Race as Recount Remains PossibleDemocrat Chuck Hubbard is leading Republican incumbent Virginia Foxx by just 99 votes in the race for North Carolina’s 5th Congressional District, but thousands of ballots still need to be counted before the election results can be…
- Virginia Foxx Trails by Slim Margin“Rep. Virginia Foxx lost her reelection bid but is within striking distance to call for a recount,” Raleigh News & Observer reports. “With all precincts reporting, Foxx’s Democratic opponent Chuck Hubbard led the race 48.7% to 48.66% in…
- Here are the midterm races to watch that are still too close to callWe are four days past Election Day, and while we know that Democrats will hold the majority in both chambers, there are still several races yet to be called that will determine the official voting margins. Here are some contests to look…
- NRCC chair Richard Hudson loses NC House seat — flipping district blue for first time in 60 yearsFollow for live updates on the 2026 Midterm Elections Rep. Richard Hudson (R-NC), chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee since 2023, lost by about 6,000 votes, with all precincts counted. Hudson had already conceded…
- U.S. House District 5 race too close to call as Virginia Foxx battles against Chuck HubbardNorth Carolina's 5th Congressional District is too close to call as Republican Virginia Foxx battles it out against Democratic candidate Chuck Hubbard. The race is only separated by 99 votes. Here are the latest race results for the North…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions