CA-23 House winner?
98%Jay Obernolte
- Jay Obernolte98%▲ 1
- Tessa Lynn Hodge2%▼ 1
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NY-02 House winner?
Settled Andrew GarbarinoA day before, traders gave it 98%.
The last odds before it closed
99%Andrew Garbarino
- ✓ Andrew Garbarino99%▲ 4
- Patrick Halpin<1%▼ 4
How the odds have moved
Andrew Garbarino: 86% on Oct 20, 99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 4, 11 PM ETAndrew Garbarino: 89% → 98%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Andrew Garbarino | 99% | 133.4K | ||||
| ✗ Patrick Halpin | <1% | 265.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Andrew Garbarino, Patrick Halpin
Search ›- How the Massapequas saved Andrew GarbarinoQuite a lot of Rep. Andrew Garbarino’s district voted for his opponent. In fact, the Republican incumbent had 4,500 fewer votes in Suffolk County than Democrat Patrick Halpin in Tuesday’s election. As it turns out, it was the state’s 2nd…
- Congressional candidate Patrick Halpin won't concede race to GarbarinoPatrick Halpin, the Democratic candidate for the 2nd Congressional District, trailed by less than 8,000 votes. Credit: James Escher Dale Pabst, Halpin’s campaign manager, said in an interview, Halpin is not going to entertain conceding…
- Former Suffolk County Executive, Patrick Halpin, A Democrat, Is Looking To Unseat U.S. Rep. Andrew GarbarinoOAK BEACH, NY — Former Suffolk County Executive Patrick Halpin, a Democrat, is looking to unseat Republican incumbent U.S. Rep. Andrew Garbarino on Election Day. See what he told Patch in his responses to our questionnaire. How old will…
- U.S. Rep. Andrew Garbarino wins 4th term in HouseU.S. Rep. Andrew Garbarino (R-Bayport) won a fourth term in the U.S. House of Representatives on Tuesday, defeating Democrat Patrick Halpin in the race to represent New York’s 2nd congressional district. Garbarino garnered 49.62% of the…
- GOP Rep. Mike Lawler concedes to Cait Conley in hotly-contested NY House raceDemocrat Cait Conley won the hotly contested race for New York’s 17th Congressional District — knocking out incumbent Rep. Mike Lawler in a critical blow for Republicans. Conley, 41, took the race Tuesday by 7 points, winning 53.3% of the…
- RAW: NY: HOUSE WINNER / CAIT CONLEYLocal 3 News Showers in the Vicinity Light Rain with Thunder Gusty winds, heavy rain, and isolated severe storms are possible today Democrat Cait Conley defeats Republican Rep. Mike Lawler in New York's 17th district race Man in hospital…
- Key NY House race thrown into chaos over bizarre issue with voting ballot ‘thickness’A highly contentious New York State race under watch by the entire nation has been plunged into chaos over voting ballot “thickness” — an issue that could mean the winner won’t be known for days. Ballot machines were rejecting the paper…
- Tonko, Constantino declare victory in NY House racesSARATOGA COUNTY, N.Y. –– Saratoga County residents have cast their ballots for who they want representing them in Congress. Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko won the race to represent the 20th Congressional District, beating Republican…
- Alaska and Mississippi Senate races still too close to call, along with some NY House racesWASHINGTON — The midterm elections are over, but two Senate races and nearly 50 House races are still too close to call on Thursday morning. Democrats have flipped both the House and the Senate based on the races that have already been…
- Tonko, Riley win reelection in NY House racesCAPITAL REGION, N.Y. — A pair of congressmen are headed back to Congress, with U.S. Representative Paul Tonko (D-20) and U.S. Representative Josh Riley (D-19) winning their districts, respectively. Tonko took on Republican challenger Ralph…
- Andrew Garbarino for U.S. House, NY-02Serving Smithtown, Brookhaven, Islip and communities across Suffolk County with local news, government, schools, sports, opinion and more. Home » Andrew Garbarino for U.S. House, NY-02 NY-02 contains the entire towns of Islip and Babylon…
- Did Mike Lawler Win Tonight? Rockland County Election Results -Lawler Concedes in NY House Swing District to Democratic Newcomer Cait Conley Amid Westchester Balloting ComplicationsNEW YORK — Republican Representative Mike Lawler has conceded defeat in New York’s high-stakes 17th Congressional District, acknowledging that Democratic challenger Cait Conley has captured the crucial Hudson Valley swing seat. Despite…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions