CA-23 House winner?
97%Jay Obernolte
- Jay Obernolte97%
- Tessa Lynn Hodge3%▼ 1
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OH-15 House winner?
Settled Don LeonardA day before, traders gave it 39%.
The last odds before it closed
95%Don Leonard
- ✓ Don Leonard95%▲ 56
- Mike Carey4%▼ 58
How the odds have moved
Don Leonard: 26% on Oct 20, 95% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 3, 10 PM ETDon Leonard: 39% → 95%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Don Leonard | 95% | 88.5K | ||||
| ✗ Mike Carey | 4% | 112.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OH- House, Don Leonard, Mike Carey
Search ›- Trump endorses Mike Carey in tight Ohio congressional raceEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
- Sen. Husted (R-OH), Governor Candidate Ramaswamy (R-OH) & House Candidate Merrin (R-OH) Hold Campaign Coffee EventSen. Jon Husted (R-OH), Governor Candidate Vivek Ramaswamy (R-OH), Lt. Gov. candidate Rob McColley, and House candidate Derek Merrin spoke to voters in Ottawa, Ohio. They were joined by Tennessee U.S. Sen. Bill Hagerty (R) in Putnam…
- Israeli artillery shells southern Lebanese town, explosion reported in Bani HayyanPolice clarify shooting incident involving Ajloun patrol US Congressman Mike Carey hails Hikma Pharmaceuticals expansion in Ohio Crown Prince meets with Saudi crown prince in Riyadh Beirut, Nov. 2 (Petra)-- The southern Lebanese town of…
- Ohio's 15th Congressional District sees flood of money ahead of closer-than-expected raceTwo of the candidates running in Ohio's 15th Congressional District are receiving millions of dollars in campaign donations, signaling a close race in what is usually a Republican-leaning district. Together, Republican U.S. Rep. Mike Carey…
- Irbid figures say King's speech sets out Jordan's prioritiesPolice clarify shooting incident involving Ajloun patrol US Congressman Mike Carey hails Hikma Pharmaceuticals expansion in Ohio Crown Prince meets with Saudi crown prince in Riyadh Irbid, Nov. 2 (Petra) -- Official, academic, and…
- In Columbus-area House races one Dem, one Republican aim to retain seatsColumbus' two U.S. House representatives are on the ballot this Nov. 3. Democratic Rep. Joyce Beatty and Republican Rep. Mike Carey are each favored to hold onto their seats. Both of their districts are drawn to heavily favor their…
- Trump hosting tele-rallies for Ohio and Pennsylvania GOP candidates SundayPresident Donald Trump announced on Truth Social that he will host a tele-rally in support of Republican gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy and several other GOP candidates in Ohio on Sunday. The event will also support Sen. Jon…
- Complaint against Circleville Pumpkin Show, Inc.CIRCLEVILLE — On October 27, 2026, Pickaway County Democratic Party Chair Carolyn Loxley filed a complaint with the Ohio Attorney General, Charitable Law Section. This complaint is against the Circleville Pumpkin Show, Inc. due to the…
- Coalition Urges Federal Action to ‘Bring Film and TV Production Home’Coalition for American Production voices support for legislation that would provide tax incentives to studios and other media production companies A representative of a group focused on boosting TV and film production in the United States…
- Ohio’s congressional delegation could look different after TuesdayRep. Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, speaks before the House Judiciary Committee at the Capitol in Washington, Thursday, Jan. 22, 2026. Mark Schiefelbein / AP Change could be coming for Ohio lawmakers in Congress, whether voters knock off a number of…
- Pickaway County Democrats sue Circleville Pumpkin Show over alleged political favoritismPICKAWAY COUNTY, Ohio (WSYX) — Leaders with the Pickaway County Democratic Party are suing the Circleville Pumpkin Show, claiming Democratic candidates were treated unfairly while Republican candidates received special treatment during…
- Ohio Democrats outraised Republicans in home stretch of key U.S. House racesDemocrats outraised Republicans in five of the six competitive U.S. House races in Ohio as the midterm election season enters its final days. That includes Ohio's 10th Congressional district, where 12-term Republican U.S. Rep. Mike Turner…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions