CA-23 House winner?
97%Jay Obernolte
- Jay Obernolte97%
- Tessa Lynn Hodge3%
Install
PA-12 House winner?
Settled Summer LeeA day before, traders gave it 99%.
The last odds before it closed
97%Summer Lee
- ✓ Summer Lee97%
- James Hayes3%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Summer Lee: 98% on Oct 20, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Summer Lee | 97% | 82.4K | ||||
| ✗ James Hayes | 3% | 4.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: PA- House, Summer Lee, James Hayes
Search ›- Pa. House and Senate election results: Who won Lehigh Valley races?All of the Lehigh Valley’s state House and Senate seats were on the ballot Tuesday, in an election where the balance of power in Harrisburg was at stake. Among the most closely watched races was in the state Senate 16th District…
- Letter to the editor: Summer Lee and the Democratic creedI can certainly empathize with the writer of the letter [James Hayes vs. Summer Lee]“James Hayes vs. Summer Lee” (Oct. 14, TribLive) and his listing of the attributes (?) of each; intent, I’m certain, to indicate who is the superior…
- See which PA House and Senate races could flip power.HARRISBURG — Control of the Pennsylvania House and Senate is on the line this Tuesday. Democrats want to maintain their majority in the lower chamber and flip the upper chamber for the first time in decades. If the party can do that — and…
- Local Pa. House race among 16 that could determine balance of power in CongressThere are 16 races that ABC News rates as Tossup going into Election Day. All 435 seats in the House of Representatives are on the ballot when voters head to the polls on Nov. 3. But spread across the political map, there are 16 races that…
- Pennsylvania voters will head to the polls today for the midterm elections. Here's what to know.November 3, 2026 / 6:00 AM EST / CBS Pittsburgh Election Day has arrived and voters will be heading to the polls for the 2026 midterm elections with the balance of power up for grabs in both Pennsylvania and in Washington, D.C. Voters…
- Two Pa. House races shift toward Dems; Trump administration to send poll monitors to Philly; can polls be trusted?Election Day is Tuesday in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and across the country. The 2026 midterm elections are Tuesday, Nov. 3. Polls will be open in Pennsylvania from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. and in New Jersey from 6 a.m. to 8 p.m. Read our complete…
- Mihalek, Lloyd seek 40th District seat in Pa. House raceAffordability is of top concern for candidates running for state House in the 40th District, which covers Bethel Park, Peters and parts of Upper Saint Clair. Incumbent Republican state Rep. Natalie Mihalek is being challenged by Democrat…
- Live election results: Pittsburgh-area races for Congress, state House and moreLimited time: ALL GIFTS ARE MATCHED! The polls will close across Pennsylvania at 8 p.m. Results from some mail-in ballots should appear here just after that time. The 12th District includes all of Pittsburgh, some suburbs and part of…
- Election Day 2026: How to vote, what’s on the ballotLimited time: ALL GIFTS ARE MATCHED! Control of Congress, the Pennsylvania legislature and the governor’s office are on the ballot today as voting Americans set a course for the final two years of the Trump era. Polls are open until 8 p.m…
- View / Democrats weigh ‘lawfare’ against TrumpBefore there was the other Dan Sullivan, there was the other Mike Doyle. Four years ago, when longtime Pittsburgh Democrat Mike Doyle retired from Congress, a left-wing legislator named Summer Lee won the primary to replace him…
- ‘Protect our games’: PA Rep looks to protect gamers as physical copies go digitalPENNSYLVANIA (WTAJ) -- As conversations continue surrounding the issue of ownership when purchasing digital content, one Pennsylvania lawmaker is introducing legislation that would better protect consumers when buying digital video games…
- Residents in Mars Borough, Adams Township vote on potential mergerWPXI Former Pittsburgh Steeler encourages young athletes to apply math to their everyday lives This election can change the balance of power in Pennsylvania's state legislature AI data centers a key issue in the Pennsylvania gubernatorial…
Related markets
All house ›CO-04 House winner?
>99%Eileen Laubacher
- Eileen Laubacher>99%▲ 1
- Lauren Boebert<1%▼ 1
FL-07 House winner?
99%Ryan Elijah
- Ryan Elijah99%
- Bale Dalton1%
FL-09 House winner?
>99%Darren Soto
- Darren Soto>99%
- Dan Green<1%
FL-27 House winner?
96%Maria Elvira Salazar
- Maria Elvira Salazar96%▼ 1
- Eliott Rodriguez4%▲ 2
LA-05 House winner?
92%Republican party
- Republican party92%▼ 3
- Democratic party8%▲ 2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions