NC-03 House winner?
85%Raymond Smith Jr.
- Raymond Smith Jr.85%▲ 1
- Greg Murphy15%
Install
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?
The odds
245.4median
180260
Median 245.4Middle half 234.2 – 253.5
How the odds have moved
Median: 228.6 on Oct 31, 245.4 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 185 | 96% | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 190 | 96% | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 195 | 96% | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 200 | 96% | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 5.00 | |
| At least 205 | 96% | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 10.00 | |
| At least 210 | 96% | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 16.00 | |
| At least 215 | 93% | 92¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 25.00 | |
| At least 218 | 89% | 88¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 124 | |
| At least 220 | 89% | 88¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 101 | |
| At least 225 | 87% | 86¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 162 | |
| At least 230 | 81% | ▼ 3 | 78¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 521 |
| At least 235 | 74% | ▼ 4 | 72¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 4.3K |
| At least 240 | 59% | 58¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 5.0K | |
| At least 245 | 52% | ▼ 2 | 49¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 3.2K |
| At least 250 | 35% | ▼ 2 | 32¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 3.6K |
| At least 255 | 21% | ▼ 2 | 19¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 1.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House
Search ›- House Democrats curb their enthusiasmHouse Democrats are hoping they’ll get good news tonight, but they’re still tamping down some of the rosiest projections. House Democrats are hoping they’ll get good news on election night, but they’re still tamping down some of the…
- Ohio Republican looks to unseat longtime Democrat in key House raceFox News Digital spoke to Derek Merrin on election eve in Toledo about his bid to unseat longtime Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur. Ohio Republican looks to unseat longtime Democrat in key House race Fox News Digital spoke to Derek Merrin on…
- ‘Terrible betrayal’: House Democrats consider whether to banish Michigan Rep. Haley StevensHakeem Jeffries, the House Democratic leader, said his caucus will discuss next steps on Stevens — who endorsed Republican Mike Rogers for Senate — after Election Day. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., lashed out Monday at…
- The final House battleground map looks great for Democrats. Watch these races.Breaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. In the final week of…
- Early voting in New Jersey's critical 7th House District shows uptick in Democrats voting earlyNovember 2, 2026 / 6:50 PM EST / CBS New York Early voting results in New Jersey show more Democrats than Republicans took advantage of early voting, which ended Sunday. Results CBS News New York has analyzed in New Jersey's 7th…
- Midterm Elections: Americans Have Wagered $1.9 Billion on Prediction Markets on U.S. Races — With Democrats Favored to Win House and SenateIt’s Election Day for the pivotal 2026 midterms that will determine control of U.S. Congress — and a bunch of people are trying to make money by betting on the outcome. As of Monday (Nov. 2) at 8 p.m. ET, nearly $1.9 billion had been…
- How House Democrats' 'deterrence message' on Trump jobs could backfireFormer DOJ official Abhi Kambli says Democrats’ calls to hold Trump staffers accountable could make future investigations look punitive rather than for legislative functions, potentially chilling congressional oversight. Sen. Elissa…
- Appeals Court Blocks House Candidate From BallotSeptember 4, 2014 / 11:15 AM EDT / CBS Miami TALLAHASSEE (CBSMiami/NSF) - A divided appeals court has rejected pleas from a Republican state House candidate who contends she was improperly kept off the November ballot because of a bank…
- Louisiana U.S. House Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News Louisiana House Results 2026 House seats won in Louisiana The expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. This number is an estimate and is based on several different…
- Utah U.S. House Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News Utah House Results 2026 House seats won in Utah The expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors…
- Delaware U.S. House Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News Delaware House Results 2026 House seats won in Delaware The expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. This number is an estimate and is based on several different…
- Wyoming U.S. House Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News Wyoming House Results 2026 House seats won in Wyoming The expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. This number is an estimate and is based on several different…
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250.5median
207252
Median 250.5Middle half 249.7 – 251.2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions