NC-03 House winner?
85%Raymond Smith Jr.
- Raymond Smith Jr.85%▲ 1
- Greg Murphy15%
Install
2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
The odds
122.26Mmedian
0130.00M
Median 122.26MMiddle half 120.73M – 123.79M
How the odds have moved
Median: 116.66M on Oct 20, 122.26M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 90 million | <1% | 0¢ | 31.8K | |||
| 90 to 94.99 million | <1% | 0¢ | 22.4K | |||
| 95 to 99.99 million | <1% | 0¢ | 18.5K | |||
| 100 to 104.99 million | <1% | 0¢ | 16.1K | |||
| 105 to 109.99 million | <1% | 0¢ | 16.2K | |||
| 110 to 114.99 million | <1% | 0¢ | 22.0K | |||
| 115 to 119.99 million | 13% | ▲ 6 | 11¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 63.0K |
| 120 to 124.99 million | 82% | ▼ 6 | 81¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 52.4K |
| 125 million and above | 5% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.24 | 94.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: U.S. House, Midterms
Search ›- Arizona U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Arizona U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Idaho U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Idaho U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- South Carolina U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News South Carolina U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…
- Michigan Democrats flip three U.S. House seats in 2026 midterm, hold majority in the stateNovember 4, 2026 / 5:58 PM EST / CBS Detroit With Democrats holding the majority in the U.S. House and Senate after the 2026 midterm election, the same occurred in Michigan, where Democrats flipped three House seats, giving them the…
- Florida U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Florida U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Massachusetts U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Massachusetts U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…
- Indiana U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Indiana U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Maine U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Maine U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Congress News: U.S. House, Senate Breaking Headlines and VideoNBC News Voters reject Trump’s GOP as Democrats rack up wins ‘A Watergate-level repudiation’: Ted Cruz weighs in on midterm wave Billionaire Leon Black sues Rep. Robert Garcia, alleging defamation over Epstein comments Inside the…
- Washington U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Washington U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…
- Colorado U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Colorado U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Alaska U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Alaska U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions