How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.3median
-850
Median 26.3Middle half 23.1 – 29.5
Install
How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?
The odds
1.04median
0.503.50
Median 1.04Middle half 0.77 – 1.30
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.11 on Oct 20, 1.04 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 1 | 93% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 3.5K |
| Exactly 2 | 6% | ▲ 2 | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 3.0K |
| Exactly 3 | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Speaker, House
Search ›- Senfronia Thompson says she has votes to become Texas House speakerDemocratic state Rep. Senfronia Thompson of Houston says she has secured enough support from lawmakers to become the first woman to serve as speaker of the Texas House. The 87-year-old lawmaker, who has served for more than 50 years, made…
- Senfronia Thompson says she has votes to become Texas' first woman, Black House speakerNovember 6, 2026 / 8:20 PM CST / CBS Texas Affectionately known as "Ms. T" at the Texas Capitol, state Rep. Senfronia Thompson, D-Houston, may soon become the first woman and African American to become Speaker of the Texas House. During a…
- Illinois House Speaker Emanuel "Chris" Welch will step down from leadership postCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Illinois House Speaker…
- Minnesota House Dems claim largest majority since the Obama era, pick Zack Stephenson as speaker-designateNovember 6, 2026 / 9:00 AM CST / CBS Minnesota Minnesota House Democrats have chosen Rep. Zack Stephenson as speaker-designate, putting the lawmaker who took over the caucus after Melissa Hortman's assassination in line to lead the House…
- Petition to Replace Hakeem Jeffries as Democrats’ House Speaker Hits 500k SignaturesNov 05, 2026 at 10:39 AM EST Nov 05, 2026 at 12:17 PM EST A petition calling on House Democrats not to support House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries as the next Speaker has hit 500,000 signatures, according to its creator. It follows the…
- Republicans point fingers after massive midterms defeat; Jeffries runs for House speakerCBS News Power shifts on Capitol Hill Latest on European flight bomb threats GOP reckons with losses as Dems celebrate Eye Opener: Democrats rejoice, GOP lashes out Presidential historian on Democrats' midterm wins Why the midterms caused…
- Rep. Emanuel "Chris" Welch faces rebellion as 26 Illinois House Democrats call for new speakerNovember 5, 2026 / 4:53 PM CST / CBS Chicago House Speaker Emanuel "Chris" Welch's grasp on the chamber's top job is tenuous with 26 incumbent and incoming House Democrats saying the supermajority caucus "needs new leadership." "We…
- Hakeem Jeffries declares bid for House speaker after GOP's midterm massacreHouse Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries told MS NOW’s "Morning Joe" that Democrats should focus on lowering costs after their midterm victories, saying Americans want results rather than retribution. Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y…
- House Speaker Mike Johnson will not stay on as Republican leader after GOP lossesBREAKING: Former ‘Diddy’ prosecutor will lead investigation into Cornell alleged sexual assault, N.Y. Attorney General Letitia James announces WASHINGTON — A day after Democrats won the House majority, Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., told his…
- Speaker Johnson won't seek reelection as House Republican leader after party's midterm wipeoutThe Washington Post WASHINGTON — House Speaker Mike Johnson will be stepping aside from Republican Party leadership after the GOP’s wipeout in the midterm election , declining to seek support to stay on as House minority leader in the new…
- Hakeem Jeffries to make history as the first Black speaker of the HouseWASHINGTON — Two decades after Democrats swept into power and elected Nancy Pelosi the first female speaker of the House, the party is making history once again. WASHINGTON — Two decades after Democrats swept into power and elected Nancy…
- Speaker Mike Johnson Reacts After Republicans Lose Control of the HouseNewsweek - Global Iran WarRussia-UkraineMiddle EastChina And AsiaLive BlogBetter PlanetAll World News The Most Important Election of Our Lives, Until the Next One w/ Astead Herndon Midterm Election Night, Senate Final Polls, Supreme Court…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions