Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration? (Before 2030)

Kalshi Politics › World leaders Closes Jan 1, 2030 · $10 traded · $9 at stake · prices read 67 min ago

The odds

36%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 36% on Oct 19, 36% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Yes	36%		31¢	40¢	$2.50	29.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: CK Hutchison, Panama

Search ›

Maersk seeks permanent control of Panama's Port of Balboafreshplaza.com · 5 days agoMaersk has expressed interest in securing a permanent operating agreement for Panama's Port of Balboa through its subsidiary APM Terminals, which began managing the facility in February. APM Terminals took over Balboa after Panama…
IRONMAN returns to Panama City Beach on Nov. 7. What you need to knowYahoo Sports · 4 days agoThe Visit Panama City Beach IRONMAN Florida triathlon returns to Saturday, Nov. 7, and we're looking back at the incredible athletes, memorable moments and excitement from past races. According to a press release, more than 2,500 athletes…
Magnitude 3.5 earthquake strikes near Panama City, Panamá District, Provincia de Panama, Panama@EQAlerts · 5 days agoEarthquake news: reports and updates on earthquake activity world-wide Look up quakes in: Magnitude 3.5 earthquake strikes near Panama City, Panamá District, Provincia de Panama, Panama World Earthquake Report for Wednesday, 4 November…
Mag. 3.7 earthquake - 61 km southeast of Sona, Provincia de Veraguas, Panama, on Friday, Nov 6, 2026, at 05:07 pm (Panama time) -narrow 920 body · 3 days agoLight mag. 3.7 earthquake - 61 km southeast of Sona, Provincia de Veraguas, Panama, on Friday, Nov 6, 2026, at 05:07 pm (Panama time) Volcano Discovery Look up quakes in: Mag. 3.7 earthquake - 61 km southeast of Sona, Provincia de…
Mag. 3.2 earthquake - 67 km southwest of Santiago, Provincia de Veraguas, Panama, on Friday, Nov 6, 2026, at 01:49 pm (Panama time) -narrow 920 body · 3 days agoLight mag. 3.2 earthquake (unconfirmed) - Panama on Friday, Nov 6, 2026, at 06:49 pm (Universal Time) Volcano Discovery Look up quakes in: Mag. 3.2 earthquake - 67 km southwest of Santiago, Provincia de Veraguas, Panama, on Friday, Nov 6…
1976 time capsule unsealed in Panama CitySNN News · 3 days agoBAY COUNTY, Fla. (WMBB) – Back in 1976, workers at Southern Bell Phone Company buried a time capsule at their Downtown Panama City building, located on East 5th Street, between Luverne and Magnolia Avenues. Thursday, members of the Central…
Mag. 4.7 earthquake - North Pacific Ocean, 66 km southeast of Las Tablas, Panama, on Friday, Nov 6, 2026, at 02:07 pm (Panama time) -narrow 920 body · 3 days agoModerate mag. 4.8 earthquake - North Pacific Ocean, 53 km southeast of Las Tablas, Panama, on Friday, Nov 6, 2026, at 02:06 pm (Panama time) Volcano Discovery Look up quakes in: Mag. 4.7 earthquake - North Pacific Ocean, 66 km southeast of…
Mag. 3.9 earthquake - North Pacific Ocean, 105 km west of Santiago, Provincia de Veraguas, Panama, on Friday, Nov 6, 2026, at 10:18 pm (Panama time) -narrow 920 body · 3 days agoLight mag. 3.9 earthquake - North Pacific Ocean, 105 km west of Santiago, Provincia de Veraguas, Panama, on Friday, Nov 6, 2026, at 10:18 pm (Panama time) Volcano Discovery Look up quakes in: Mag. 3.9 earthquake - North Pacific Ocean, 105…
Mag. 3.3 earthquake - North Pacific Ocean, 52 km southwest of Santiago, Provincia de Veraguas, Panama, on Friday, Nov 6, 2026, at 07:36 am (Panama time) -narrow 920 body · 4 days agoLight mag. 3.3 earthquake - North Pacific Ocean, 52 km southwest of Santiago, Provincia de Veraguas, Panama, on Friday, Nov 6, 2026, at 07:36 am (Panama time) Volcano Discovery Look up quakes in: Mag. 3.3 earthquake - North Pacific Ocean…
EU Investment Bank opens Panama office to bolster Central America energy ties@BrusselsTimes · 3 days agoThe European Investment Bank has formally launched a regional office based in Panama to cover Central America and Mexico. The office was launched at the 30th Ibero-American Summit in Madrid on 5 November, and has been operational since…
Mag. 3.9 earthquake - Panama Oeste, 17 km west of Panama City, Provincia de Panama, Panama, on Wednesday, Nov 4, 2026, at 05:38 pm (Panama time) -narrow 920 body · 5 days agoDetailed info, map, data, reports, updates about this earthquake: Light mag. 3.9 earthquake - Panama Oeste, 17 km west of Panama City, Provincia de Panama, Panama, on Wednesday, Nov 4, 2026, at 05:38 pm (Panama time) - Look up quakes in…
Mag. 3.6 earthquake (unconfirmed) - North Pacific Ocean, 274 km southwest of Panama City, Panama, on Friday, Nov 6, 2026, at 10:22 am (GMT -5) -narrow 920 body · 4 days agoLight mag. 3.6 earthquake (unconfirmed) - North Pacific Ocean, 274 km southwest of Panama City, Panama, on Friday, Nov 6, 2026, at 10:22 am (GMT -5) Volcano Discovery Look up quakes in: Mag. 3.6 earthquake (unconfirmed) - North Pacific…

Related markets

All world leaders ›

Politics › World leaders

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Nov 16, 2027even chance by

Before Dec 1, 20264%▲ 1
Before Jan 1, 20278%▲ 2
Before Feb 1, 202711%▼ 1

13 more

Before Mar 1, 202714%▼ 4
Before Apr 1, 202723%▼ 2
Before May 1, 202725%▼ 2
Before Jun 1, 202735%▲ 2
Before Jul 1, 202738%▼ 1
Before Aug 1, 202740%▼ 1
Before Sep 1, 202742%▼ 1
Before Oct 1, 202746%
Before Nov 1, 202749%▲ 1
Before Dec 1, 202752%▲ 3
Before Jan 1, 202856%▲ 2
Before Jul 1, 202866%▲ 5
Before Jan 1, 202970%

Politics › World leaders

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)

191.7median

160230

Median 191.7Middle half 187.2 – 196.3

Politics › World leaders

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)

193.4median

160230

Median 193.4Middle half 188.7 – 199.4

Politics › World leaders

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)

299.8median

250340

Median 299.8Middle half 288.3 – 309.8

Politics › World leaders

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)

193.3median

140230

Median 193.3Middle half 185.8 – 202.7

Politics › World leaders

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)

192.8median

175240

Median 192.8Middle half 183.7 – 205

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onCK Hutchison Holdings, The Associated Press

Trading closesJan 1, 2030 10:00 AM ET

Traded$10 (29 contracts)

At stake$9

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If CK Hutchison has achieved the superior outcome in the trial-level resolution of its Panama ports arbitration (originally filed in the ICC), then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions