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Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?
The odds
- Mandatory body-worn cameras7%▲ 2
- Mask ban7%▲ 2
- Visible identification4%
- Separate HSI from ICE4%
- Abolish ICE4%
- QR-code identification4%
How the odds have moved
Mandatory body-worn cameras: 6% on Oct 20, 7% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mandatory body-worn cameras | 7% | ▲ 2 | 4¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 25.2K |
| Mask ban | 7% | ▲ 2 | 3¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 10.8K |
| Visible identification | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $13.89 | 16.3K | |
| Separate HSI from ICE | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $13.89 | 1.6K | |
| Abolish ICE | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 2.1K | |
| QR-code identification | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $15.38 | 1.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions