How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.4median
-850
Median 26.4Middle half 23.2 – 29.6
Install
Will the House impeach a federal judge this year? (Before 2027)
The odds
3%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 3% on Oct 19, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 5, 2 PM ET10% → 4%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 3¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 12.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: impeachment, House
Search ›- Top House Democrat 'a hard yes' on impeaching HegsethHakeem Jeffries, the Democratic minority leader in Congress who is posed to become House speaker The lawmaker in pole position to lead the US House of Representatives after Democrats take control of Congress in January has said he is "a…
- Top House Democrat says he’s a ‘hard yes’ on Pete Hegseth impeachmentBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. “Pete Hegseth has got…
- House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries says he is a ‘hard yes’ on impeaching Defense Secretary Pete HegsethHouse Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., said he is a “hard yes” on supporting impeachment efforts against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, which are expected to be brought to a vote this week. Asked in an interview on ABC’s “This…
- Reporter's Notebook: How midterms may change the House impeachment equation for HegsethFox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on post-midterm calls from several Democrats to investigate President Donald Trump and his administration on ‘Hannity.’ Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., plans to reintroduce…
- DOJ looks into Dems threatening impeachmentFox News' Alex Hogan reports on President Donald Trump appointing Stephen Miller as White House chief of staff. Former Trump Chief of Staff Reince Priebus weighs in on Miller's appointment and analyzes House Democrats' impeachment threats…
- Ro Khanna pressed on calls to impeach Hegseth, TrumpRep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., joins 'The Sunday Briefing' to discuss the incoming House members, future Democratic party priorities and more. Ro Khanna pressed on calls to impeach Hegseth, Trump Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., joins 'The Sunday…
- Jeffries says he's a ‘hard yes’ on Hegseth impeachment resolutionWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
- Blanche backs Trump call for DOJ inquiry into Democratic impeachment pushWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
- Bernie Sanders says he’s 'absolutely open to' impeaching RFK Jr.Senator Bernie Sanders, who is set to become the Chair of the Senate HELP Committee, tells Dana Bash he is "open to" impeaching Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.: "The bottom line is we need a secretary of HHS who is concerned about…
- Congress-Bound Admiral Fired by Pete Hegseth Weighs In on Impeaching HimNov 08, 2026 at 01:36 PM EST Democratic Representative-elect Nancy Lacore, the retired Navy admiral fired by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth last year, said there were “probably plenty” when asked about impeachable offenses involving the…
- Hakeem Jeffries supports impeachment of Pete Hegseth: ‘He has got to go’House Democrat is a ‘hard yes’ on impeachment resolution against defense secretary who ‘has abused his power’ House minority leader Hakeem Jeffries, poised to become majority leader, said on Sunday that he strongly supports impeaching…
- Jeffries Backs Republican-Led Hegseth Impeachment Effort: He’s ‘Got to Go’Nov 08, 2026 at 11:40 AM EST Nov 08, 2026 at 11:41 AM EST House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, a New York Democrat, gave his support on Sunday to a Republican-led effort to impeach Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, saying he was a “hard…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions