The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ At least 1
83%
$1.20
1.9K
At least 2
32%
27¢
36¢
$2.78
159
At least 3
21%
17¢
25¢
$4.00
392
At least 4
11%
7¢
15¢
$6.67
210
At least 5
7%
2¢
11¢
$9.09
12.00
At least 6
5%
2¢
7¢
$14.29
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Gaza residents watch Israel election, hoping to unseat Netanyahu as airstrikes continueThe Washington Post · 13 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Residents of Gaza’s…
Israeli opposition accuses Netanyahu of trying to 'delegitimise' electionBBC News · 11 days agoThe main Israeli opposition leader Gadi Eisenkot and Arab-led party leaders have denounced Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for alleging foreign interference following the election which saw his coalition lose its majority. Netanyahu's…
Can Israel's opposition parties work with Palestinians to oust Netanyahu? | Explainerthe Guardian · 11 days agoIsraeli elections led to prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu's far-right coalition losing its majority after four years in power. While Israel's Palestinian-led parties have expressed a clear desire for a Jewish-Arab partnership, most of the…
Netanyahu loses parliamentary majority as Israel faces uncertain political futureFox News · 12 days agoAs coalition negotiations loom and allegations of foreign election interference emerge, Fox News Digital reporter Efrat Lachter reports from Tel Aviv, Israel. Netanyahu loses parliamentary majority as Israel faces uncertain political…
Netanyahu's bloc hold lead in Israeli electionsBBC · 13 days ago(Photo: People sit outside the Israeli parliament Knesset in Jerusalem, 28 October 2026. The Israel Central Elections Committee is the final stage of counting the votes of the Israel legislative ... Use BBC.com or the new BBC App to listen…
Netanyahu becomes prediction markets’ favorite to be next Israeli PMsemafor.com · 12 days agoBenjamin Netanyahu is now oddsmakers’ favorite to stay on as Israel’s prime minister in its next government, which could take weeks or months to form, as the broader region braced for a period of prolonged uncertainty. Neither Netanyahu’s…
Israeli leader Netanyahu accused of using ‘ugly’ smear tactics to cling to powerthe Guardian · 11 days agoPrime minister claims Arab Israeli parties used foreign backing to steal elections, in which his coalition lost its majority Benjamin Netanyahu has been accused of using smear tactics to cling to power, after he claimed that Arab Israeli…
Netanyahu claims Arab minority voters stole Israel election as race heads to stalemateCBS News · 12 days agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. No clear winner in…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions