Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Nov 1, 2026
—
Before Dec 1, 2026
9%
▼ 1
5¢
12¢
$8.33
56.00
Before Jan 1, 2027
20%
▲ 1
16¢
23¢
$4.35
2.4K
Before Apr 1, 2027
40%
▲ 1
36¢
43¢
$2.33
2.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Asa Tribe barred from England Lions tour under Ebola rules after Kenya tripthe Guardian · 8 days agoGlamorgan opener played for Jersey in Kenya last month Entry ban brought in by St Kitts and Nevis government The Glamorgan opener Asa Tribe has been barred from joining the England Lions tour of the Caribbean following a visit to Kenya and…
New York marathon: Sweden's Almgren and Kenya's Chepkirui win as 60,000 take partNPR · 8 days agoSweden's Andreas Almgren, right, approaches the finish line during the New York City Marathon in New York, Sunday, Nov. 1, 2026. Angelina Katsanis/AP hide caption NEW YORK — Andreas Almgren of Sweden won the men's race of the New York City…
How Kenyans got caught in $130m US ghost student scamBBC News · 11 days agoThe US Department of Justice has launched Operation Ghostbusters to tackle a $200m (£149m) student aid fraud scheme. In May 2024, Francis Mogambi arrived in the United States after winning the Diversity Visa lottery, a programme that gives…
Nairobi City Guide 2026, Kenya’s Capital ExplainedThe Rio Times · 9 days agoKENYA · CITY GUIDE This Nairobi city guide explains how Kenya’s capital works, from its two layers of government to the United Nations headquarters here. It covers the national park, rail and infrastructure plans, the shilling and US…
Kenya Reporter Kitavi Mutua DiesThe Rio Times · 9 days agoKitavi Mutua, a veteran correspondent for Nation Media Group in Kenya’s Kitui County, has died in Nairobi, colleagues said. His employer, family and hospital have not published a statement on the cause. Kitavi Mutua, a veteran…
Soil mapping aims to boost agricultural production in KenyaUnited Nations · 8 days ago27 October 2026 - A new Kenyan initiative is helping farmers better understand their soils in a bid to improve crop yields amid intensifying climate shocks. The Soil Mapping for Resilient Agrifood systems (SoilFER) programme supports…
FIFA threatens measures over football disputes in Kenyan courts — Nation KenyaUA.NEWS · 9 days agoFIFA has warned the Football Kenya Federation (FKF) that it may take statutory measures against individuals or entities that refer football disputes to ordinary courts. Nation Kenya reported this, citing a letter from the world football…
FBI vs INTERPOL: 6 key differences Kenyans should knowK24 Digital · 9 days agoThe Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) and the International Criminal Police Organization (INTERPOL) are two well-known names in international law enforcement. Both are associated with criminal investigations, tracking suspects and…
UN Staff Evacuated From Somalia to Kenya After UNTMIS ClosureGarowe Online · 9 days agoMOGADISHU, Somalia — United Nations staff were evacuated from the Halane compound in Mogadishu on Sunday and flown to Nairobi, Kenya, aboard UN-chartered aircraft, according to information provided about the operation. The evacuation came…
Fighting in Ethiopia border town kills nine, thousands flee to Kenyagenocidewatch · 8 days agoNAIROBI, Oct 23 (Reuters) - Fighting in a southern Ethiopian border town has killed at least nine people over the past few days, an official at a local hospital said, while a Kenyan official said at least 2,500 people had fled into…
Kenya presses Saudi Arabia to lift Ebola travel restrictionsTürkiye Today · 9 days agoKenya on Saturday formally asked Saudi Arabia to reverse its decision to suspend travel to and from the East African country over an Ebola outbreak, warning that the restrictions threaten trade, tourism and employment. Kenya’s Foreign…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions