How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.3median
-850
Median 26.3Middle half 23.1 – 29.5
Install
When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica? (Before Apr 1, 2027)
The odds
23%Before Apr 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 202721%
- Before Apr 1, 202723%
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 18% on Oct 20, 21% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 42.2K | |||
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 21% | 18¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 18.4K | |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 23% | 22¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 20.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kari Lake, Ambassador, Jamaica
Search ›- Jamaica Bay flood plan proposes voluntary buyouts for more than 200 homesOctober 28, 2026 / 3:43 PM EDT / CBS New York Residents of Hamilton Beach say flooding has been a fact of life for generations. "Just on regular moon tides, I am always walking through water to get to my home," Gary Robertson said. Now…
- Ambassador Michael Waltz confronts Cuban delegate at the UNAmbassador Michael Waltz defends the United States against intimidation by a Cuban delegate during a tense United Nations meeting. Waltz firmly orders the delegate to back away from the podium, reminding him that 'this isn't Havana.' The…
- Ja' Grill Jamaican restaurant in Chicago's Hyde Park neighborhood to close after 19 yearsUpdated on: October 28, 2026 / 2:26 PM CDT / CBS Chicago Ja' Grill Jamaican restaurant in Chicago's Hyde Park neighborhood announced Wednesday that it is going out of business after 19 years. Monday, Nov. 2, will be the last day of…
- US ambassador suggests Trump could blame Canada if midterms don’t go his wayPete Hoekstra, controversial US ambassador to Canada, has also accused Canadian officials of interfering in US elections The US ambassador Pete Hoekstra has suggested Canada could be blamed if Republicans perform poorly in next week’s…
- All issues in Israel's election are domestic: Former Israeli ambassador to USFormer Israeli Ambassador to the U.S. Michael Oren discusses Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's re-election bid, voter turnout and the key issues shaping the race as Israelis head to the polls on 'The Claman Countdown.' All issues in…
- Israeli UN ambassador to Gov Kathy Hochul: I'd advise focusing on US politicsIsraeli U.N. Ambassador Danny Danon discusses Vice President JD Vance's comments on U.S. Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed and reacts to N.Y. Gov. Kathy Hochul's remarks on Israel's prime ministerial election, weighing the political…
- 'Highest percentage' of voter turnout ever in an Israeli election: Former ambassador to U.S.Former Israeli Ambassador to the U.S. Michael Oren discusses Israel's election and Benjamin Netanyahu's fight for his political future on 'America Reports.' ... 'Highest percentage' of voter turnout ever in an Israeli election: Former…
- Former U.S. ambassador to Israel on how Gaza war affects Netanyahu's reelection chancesCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Gaza's impact on…
- Ambassador Mike Waltz slams Cuban diplomats who he says tried to intimidate him and his teamU.S. Ambassador to the UN Mike Waltz says the Cuban regime uses propaganda to distract its own people from the ‘hard truths’ on ‘Hannity.’ ... Ambassador Mike Waltz slams Cuban diplomats who he says tried to intimidate him and his team…
- Israel's election outcomes not likely to change Iran or Gaza wars, former ambassador saysCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Ex-ambassador…
- Shouting match erupts at UN as Cuban foreign minister moves toward US ambassador's podium: 'Back up!'U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Mike Waltz clashes with Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodríguez Parrilla during a heated exchange on the floor of the UN General Assembly. U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Mike Waltz told Cuba's…
- Hit Netflix show boss, Obama’s former UN ambassador take shots at Trump's 'wreckage of our institutions'Former Obama U.N. ambassador Samantha Power sat with the creator of Netflix's "The Diplomat" to discuss the state of U.S. diplomacy under the Trump administration. Debora Cahn, showrunner of the Netflix series "The Diplomat," and former…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions