How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.3median
-850
Median 26.3Middle half 23.1 – 29.4
Install
How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck? (After Issuance, before Jan 3, 2027)
The odds
76.1median
-5150
Median 76.1Middle half 47.0 – 113.6
How the odds have moved
Median: 42.1 on Nov 3, 76.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 10 | 97% | ▲ 1 | 96¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 10.4K |
| At least 25 | 93% | 91¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 3.4K | |
| At least 50 | 73% | ▼ 4 | 69¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 9.4K |
| At least 75 | 51% | ▲ 18 | 47¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 6.9K |
| At least 100 | 28% | ▲ 13 | 25¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 4.9K |
| At least 125 | 23% | ▲ 11 | 22¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 8.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Senate, Issuance
Search ›- Cornell faculty senate issues no confidence vote on administration’s handling of sexual assaultBREAKING: Cornell faculty senate issues no confidence vote on administration’s handling of sexual assault Members of the Cornell University faculty senate on Friday issued a vote of no confidence on the administration’s ability to manage…
- Eagles' Tanner McKee: Questionable with rib issueCBS Sports McKee (ribs) is officially listed as questionable for Sunday's game versus the Giants. McKee lost the Eagles' starting quarterback job to 2024 sixth-rounder Joe Milton after Week 8, and now it's up in the air whether McKee will…
- Justice Dept. issues target letters in Alaska Senate investigationThe Washington Post Prosecutors also sent preservation letters as part of its investigation into two similarly named candidates in the tight race. The Justice Department has issued more than 20 target and preservation letters in connection…
- Saints' Kelvin Banks: Questionable with ankle issueCBS Sports Banks (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Browns. Banks logged three consecutive limited sessions during Week 9 prep. The Saints could choose to activate the left tackle ahead of Sunday's game but…
- Nebraska U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026AP News Nebraska U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Davis police say they're reviewing horn citation issued during federal operationNovember 6, 2026 / 8:47 AM PST / CBS Sacramento Davis police are reviewing an officer's decision to cite a driver for excessive horn use while federal agents were conducting an operation in the city Thursday morning. Department of Homeland…
- Minnesota U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026AP News Minnesota U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…
- Montana U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026AP News Montana U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- PITTMAN ISSUES STATEMENTS ON DEMOCRATS WINS IN STATE HOUSE, SENATEWCCS AM1160 & 101.1FM Welcome to WCCS FM 101.1 and AM 1160 PITTMAN ISSUES STATEMENTS ON DEMOCRATS WINS IN STATE HOUSE, SENATE State Senator Joe Pittman says that despite Democrats gaining control of both the state house and senate, the…
- GOP alleges spoiler scheme in Alaska Senate raceFox Business GOP alleges spoiler scheme in Alaska Senate race 'Fox & Friends Weekend' co-host Charlie Hurt joins 'Kudlow' to discuss the 'Decoy Dan' controversy in Alaska and the GOP's next steps. 'Fox & Friends Weekend' co-host Charlie…
- Senate Democrats welcome a red-state revolutionCatherine Cortez Masto was one of just three senators in the Democratic caucus to oppose last year’s government shutdown. She clashed openly with her own Democratic colleague over police grants. She seemed, at times, like a lonely…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions