Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Dec 1, 2026
7%
3¢
11¢
$9.09
Before Jan 1, 2027
16%
12¢
20¢
$5.00
1.00
Before Mar 1, 2027
24%
▲ 1
20¢
27¢
$3.70
Before May 1, 2027
30%
▲ 1
26¢
33¢
$3.03
Before Jul 1, 2027
97%
94¢
99¢
$1.01
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Prime Minister of France, Sébastien Lecornu
Multiple Planes Targeted by Suspected Bomb Threats Across EuropeNewsweek · 4 days agoNov 05, 2026 at 05:02 AM EST Nov 05, 2026 at 05:14 AM EST Multiple planes were targeted by suspected bomb threats in Europe on Thursday, days after a spate of similar incidents caused chaos. An Aer Lingus plane with more than 150 people on…
Tens of thousands of workers in France flood streets for anti-government protestsCBS News · 4 days agoUpdated on: November 5, 2026 / 7:59 PM EST / CBS News Tens of thousands of government workers, teachers, transport employees and other union workers in France walked off the job Thursday to take part in the latest round of massive economic…
European air traffic is targeted by new threats after a week of hoaxesNPR · 3 days agoPassengers arrive at the Henri Coanda International Airport pass under a Schengen Information sign, in Otopeni, near Bucharest, Romania, on March 31, 2024. Andreea Alexandru/AP hide caption BERLIN — Officials across Europe reported a fresh…
French budget unanimously rejected by lawmakers ahead of nationwide strikesCNBC · 5 days agoFrench lawmakers rejected the government's cost-cutting budget on Wednesday evening, as the country's finances fuel widespread protests and worry bond markets. Politicians in the National Assembly — the lower house of France's parliament —…
‘Bomb alert’ diverts Rome-bound passenger planeNBC News · 5 days agoLONDON — A passenger plane flying from Dublin to Rome was on Thursday diverted to an air force base in France after what French officials said was a “bomb alert.” “Flight EI402 from Dublin to Rome diverted to Normandy this morning as…
Multiple flights in Europe diverted because of bomb threatsFox News · 5 days agoFox News foreign correspondent Jeff Paul reports on a series of bomb threats forcing multiple commercial flights to divert or make emergency landings across Europe. Paul details incidents involving Aer Lingus, Finnair and Wizz Air flights…
600,000 protesters in France demand higher wages and school fundingVOV5.VN · 4 days agoVOV World Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu announced that a “social conference” with trade unions and employers’ organizations will be held next Monday. "My income is below the minimum wage. It feels like I'm earning the same amount I did…
Largely peaceful marches take place across France as workers stage strikeThe Standard 英文虎報 · 4 days agoNationwide demonstrations unfolded largely peacefully, despite some clashes with police in Paris and Lyon, on Thursday during a one-day strike by some public sector workers in a renewed challenge to President Emmanuel Macron. Several…
Bomb alert diverts Airbus A320 plane going from Dublin to Rome, French PM saysThe Standard 英文虎報 · 5 days agoAn Airbus A320 plane flying from Dublin to Rome has been diverted to France's Evreux airbase following a bomb alert, the office of French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu said on Thursday. Bomb alert diverts Airbus A320 plane going from…
600,000 hit French streets in growing protests against Macron’s policies (VIDEO)RT International · 4 days agoProtests involving hundreds of thousands of demonstrators spiraled into violence across France on Thursday, amid growing anger at President Emmanuel Macron’s economic policies. What started as student protests over education and…
Protesters in France stage new rallies nationwideNHK WORLD · 4 days agoNew protests in France are triggering turmoil around the country. They follow demonstrations last month that descended into acts of vandalism. Demonstrators rallied nationwide on Thursday, backed by labor unions. They are demanding…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions