Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
12%December 31
- June 30, 202712%▲ 1
- December 3112%
Install
Brigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?
The odds
30%chance▲ 4
How the odds have moved
Yes: 50% on Oct 20, 30% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 28, 10 PM ET49% → 44%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 30% | ▲ 4 | 28¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 20.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Brigitte Macron, Candace Owens
Search ›- Candace Owens Wins Dismissal From Macron Defamation LawsuitNational Legal News, Information & Blogs Delaware Superior Court Judge Sheldon K. Rennie ruled on October 27, 2026, that Owens' connections to Delaware were insufficient to establish jurisdiction over her personally. Her companies, Candace…
- Queen Letizia revives DelPozo gown she wore again for Macron in 2018Queen Letizia hosted the event in a midnight-blue DelPozo gown designed by Josep Font for the Pre-Fall 2017 collection. It has a Bardot neckline and a raised flower on the right side of the chest. Three-quarter sleeves and a fitted midi…
- 10 Found Guilty of Cyberbullying Brigitte Macron Over Claims She Was Born MaleOne defendant was sentenced to six months in prison, and eight were given suspended sentences of between four and eight months. All 10 were ordered to attend awareness training on cyberbullying, which is a separate offense from other forms…
- Macron: The EU is sad and boring, I miss Merkel and DraghiNov 5, 2026 05:49 99 “I’m bored. It’s sad and there’s a lack of creative energy. I terribly miss Mario Draghi and Angela Merkel.” French President Emmanuel Macron wrote this in a message to journalist Françoise Degois in October 2024…
- No, YOU F**K OFF, Megyn: Tone-Deaf, Sleazy Opportunist Megyn Kelly Tells GOP to F**K OFF (Watch)Megyn Kelly spent the morning after the midterms telling Republicans the voters had just told them to go to hell because the party betrayed them. The GOP is in ruins, she said! That take might land harder if she hadn’t spent the better…
- Russell Brand Has Been Found Guilty of Rape & Three Sexual Assaults. Here’s the Argument His Defence Team Tried to Use Which Left Me FlabbergastedTRIGGER WARNING: This story contains distressing details about sexual assault and rape Today, after a lengthy trial, comedian and actor, turned religious influencer Russell Brand was found guilty of one count of rape and three counts of…
- The NAZA Election — Israel and the Jews were Collateral Damage on TuesdayThe pre-election spinning is over – let the post-election spinning begin! It was the NAZA election. Jews and Israel are collateral damage, nezek agavi in Hebrew, known by its acronym NAZA. That contemptible NAZA movie spreading lies about…
- Courtney Stodden Says Republicans Wanted to Make Her a ‘MAGA Barbie,’ But She Refused: ‘My Pain Does Not Buy My Politics’Courtney Stodden claimed Republicans once viewed her as a potential face of the conservative movement. “They wanted to make me their MAGA Barbie. Honestly, I could have easily played that part,” Stodden, 32, explained in a nearly…
- Trump lashes out at prominent conservatives over Iran war criticismPresident Trump on Thursday assailed Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly and two other leading conservative podcasters who oppose the war in Iran in a blistering 482-word Truth Social post that insulted his critics in starkly personal terms. The…
- How Hollywood Helped Fuel Tuesday’s Blue TsunamiBruce Springsteen didn’t tip the Election Day scales for the Democrats. Nor did Macklemore, Jimmy Kimmel or Mark Ruffalo. No single progressive artist made a difference in the beating Republicans took Tuesday night. No, the matter is far…
- The Groypers Split the Right and Cost us the Elections...The question is who is behind these people? Never heard of them and I’ve been interested in politics since 1976 when I was a young boy. Did the “groypers” manufacture a half million more votes for Abdul El-Sayed than Kamala got? The…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions