How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.4median
-850
Median 26.4Middle half 23.2 – 29.6
Install
Will the House pass a Medicaid work requirements repeal? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
The odds
64%chance▲ 5
How the odds have moved
Yes: 46% on Nov 7, 64% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64% | ▲ 5 | 61¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 3.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House, Medicaid
Search ›- Democrats will take aim at Medicaid cuts, Iran war and tariffs, Jeffries saysHouse Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-New York) on Sunday reaffirmed his party’s goals of reversing cuts to Medicaid, ending the war in Iran and stopping President Donald Trump’s tariffs when Democrats take control of the House in…
- Nebraska rushed Medicaid work rules. Then a cancer patient was told he'd lost coverageShortly after being diagnosed with kidney cancer, Eli McCreary of Omaha, Neb., was told by a hospital that he'd lost his Medicaid coverage. Chris Machian/KFF Health News hide caption Eli McCreary of Omaha, Neb., said he had recently been…
- States sue Trump administration again to delay Medicaid work requirementsRose Broderick covers disability and mental health. Her stories tackle the federal government upending autism care and research; the decimation of the country's addiction and mental health services; gene therapy advances that target…
- House GOP gears up for leadership reshufflingHouse Republicans will see a post-election reshuffling this week, with every senior rung of their leadership facing competition — and President Donald Trump is staying out of it. Reps. Jim Jordan of Ohio and current Majority Leader Steve…
- Court blocks Medicaid rule challenged by RaoulIllinois Attorney General Kwame Raoul has secured a federal court victory blocking the Trump administration from enforcing a new interpretation of Medicaid work requirements that could have jeopardized health coverage for people with…
- Mississippi U.S. House Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsThe expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information ... After a historic wave of…
- Arizona Republican holds House seat, surviving re-election scareChief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram joins 'Fox Report’ to discuss how the newest members of Congress descended on Capitol Hill today. Pergram says new members outlined their legislative priorities such as agricultural economy…
- WATCH LIVE: U.S. House of Representatives holds floor proceedingsLawmakers return to Capitol Hill after a seven-week recess following the midterm elections. WATCH LIVE: U.S. House of Representatives holds floor proceedings Lawmakers return to Capitol Hill after a seven-week recess following the midterm…
- Lauren Boebert, Trump Ally, Loses Colorado House Race, CNN ProjectsNov 09, 2026 at 03:29 PM EST Nov 09, 2026 at 03:44 PM EST Republican incumbent Representative and longtime Trump ally Lauren Boebert is projected to lose her reelection bid for Colorado's 4th Congressional District to Democratic challenger…
- WATCH LIVE: House of Representatives Committee on Rules holds meetingHouse lawmakers meet to set debate terms and advance upcoming legislation to the floor as leaders negotiate key priorities. WATCH LIVE: House of Representatives Committee on Rules holds meeting House lawmakers meet to set debate terms and…
- Hakeem Jeffries faces progressive demands ahead of House leadership voteChief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on upcoming congressional leadership elections and progressive demands. Jeremy Hunt and Richard Fowler discuss Democratic divisions and the 2028 presidential race on 'The Faulkner…
- Hegseth impeachment effort begins in House, focused on Iran warBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Republican Rep. Thomas…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions