Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
12%December 31
- June 30, 202712%▲ 1
- December 3112%
Install
FTC antitrust case against Meta revived on appeal? (Before 2029)
The odds
56%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 55% on Oct 19, 56% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56% | ▲ 1 | 51¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 621 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Meta
Search ›- “Does Meta think we can’t read?” Meta abandons sketchy commercial terms update.Meta won’t force Facebook page owners to allow AI training on linked content. After weeks of backlash—and a failed attempt to quell it—Meta has indefinitely delayed plans to update its commercial terms and require Meta Business account…
- Meta, Google, and TikTok sue California AG over teen social media lawMeta, Google, and TikTok have each filed lawsuits against California Attorney General Rob Bonta in an attempt to block a law that restricts social media features it deems addictive for users under 16. California Governor Gavin Newsom…
- Meta introduces Spaces, a new way to collaborate with your Muse agentMeta recently launched its Muse agents — a new generation of cuddly agentic helpers. Now, the company has launched Spaces, a new way to communicate and collaborate with them. As far as I can tell, Spaces are basically breakout…
- Google, TikTik And Meta Sue To Block California's Social Media LawThree tech giants — Google, Meta and TikTok — sued the state of California over a recently passed law designed to restrict social media platforms from offering “addictive” features to children under 16. Read YouTube’s lawsuit challenging a…
- Meta, Google and TikTok sue California to block law shielding children from ‘addictive’ algorithmsMeta, Google and TikTok sued California on Wednesday, accusing the state of unlawfully trying to take over the role of editor, curator and parent in deciding what young people see online. The tech mammoths each filed separate federal…
- Google, Meta and TikTok sue California to block law protecting children from addiction riskLaw bans social media platforms from providing minors features such as autoplay that lead to compulsive use Google, Meta and TikTok sued California to block enforcement of a new state law intended to limit the risk of addicting children…
- Meta’s Muse AI can create custom ‘spaces’ for the version of the app you need right nowYou can create things like a shopping hub, school dashboard, or music tracker directly within Muse. Meta will now allow you to build customized, app-like experiences within its Muse AI assistant. The new feature, called “spaces,” allows…
- Meta says US users can now video chat with their Muse AI avatarFounder Summit begins Nov. 4, 9:00 a.m. ET. Get your pass savings & deals before it starts. REGISTER HERE. Muse Voice, a feature that lets users call and video chat with Meta’s consumer AI agent, Muse, is now available to everyone in the…
- Meta bought an AI coding startup.First, xAI spent $60 billion on Cursor, and now Meta picked up Conductor for an undisclosed amount, as reported previously by Axios, as they all compete with the likes of Anthropic’s Claude Code and OpenAI’s Codex. Conductor’s product is…
- Meta acquires AI coding startup ConductorFounder Summit begins Nov. 4, 9:00 a.m. ET. Get your pass savings & deals before it starts. REGISTER HERE. Meta has acquired Conductor, an AI coding startup that allows users to spin up software projects by deploying multiple agents into…
- Meta warns that election backlash against data centers could make AI expansion harderFounder Summit begins Nov. 4, 9:00 a.m. ET. Get your pass savings & deals before it starts. REGISTER HERE. Meta President Dina Powell McCormick said that the Democratic wins in the midterm elections are going to make it a lot harder for…
- Meta Quest Promo Codes and Coupons for November 2026Best Buy (Walking Dead Bundle) If you’re looking to pick up the more powerful Quest 3, and still want to save some cash, there are refurbished units available for just $380. That’s a $50 discount from a new model, and you get the same…
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7%Moylan v. Guam Society of Obstetrician and Gynecologists
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What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term? (Jan 20, 2029)
75%6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
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SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
9%December 31
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- Adam Schiff5%
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- Joe Kent4%
- Jack Smith4%
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Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
28%chance
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions