Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Arkansas Governor margin of victory
The odds
14.6median
-240
Median 14.6Middle half 13.8 – 15.5
How the odds have moved
Median: 15.5 on Oct 20, 14.6 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanders, 4+ pts | 99% | $1.01 | 1.00 | |||
| Sanders, 10+ pts | 99% | 9¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 521 | |
| Sanders, 13+ pts | 97% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.0K | |
| Sanders, 16+ pts | 9% | 1¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 178 | |
| Sanders, 19+ pts | 3% | $35.71 | 2.3K | |||
| Sanders, 22+ pts | 2% | 25¢ | $4.00 | 546 | ||
| Sanders, 25+ pts | 2% | 1¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 3.1K | |
| Sanders, 28+ pts | 2% | 39¢ | $2.56 | 2.6K | ||
| Sanders, 34+ pts | 2% | 26¢ | $3.85 | 19.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Arkansas Governor
Search ›- Arkansas Governor Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsVoters in New York's Westchester County have reported issues with broken voting machines at multiple polling stations this morning, with Attorney General Letiti The administration's belated efforts to crack down on alleged noncitizen…
- Arkansas Governor Race 2026: Sanders vs. Love2026 governor races › Arkansas General election November 3, 2026 · Updated November 2, 2026 Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) is seeking a second term. The rating is MultiState's consensus, the average of the Cook Political Report, Sabato's…
- Who is Sarah Huckabee Sanders? Meet Arkansas Governor Ahead of 2026 US Midterm Elections 2026: Age, Husband, Children, Education, Political Career, Family, Net Worth, Controversies & MoreSarah Huckabee Sanders is an American politician and the 47th governor of Arkansas. A member of the Republican Party, she became the first woman to serve as governor of the state when she took office on January 10, 2023. Before entering…
- Arkansas 2026 Election ResultsGeneral election, November 3, 2026 Results will appear on this page on election night, November 3, 2026, as votes are counted. The last polls in Arkansas close at 8:30 PM ET. Follow every state live → On the Arkansas ballot: governor plus…
- Former state Sen. Jeremy Hutchinson launching Arkansas chapter of conservative group opposed to death penaltyA former state lawmaker, the nephew of a former Arkansas governor who oversaw four executions in an 11-day period, is launching a state chapter of a conservative anti-death penalty group. Former state Sen. Jeremy Hutchinson launching…
- Libertarians have a presence on Cross County ballotCROSS COUNTY — Tuesday is Election Day in Arkansas, and there will be more than just Republicans and Democrats on the Cross County ballot. Candidates representing the Libertarian Party have also qualified for numerous state and national…
- Who is Bryan Sanders? Age, Wife, Education, Career, Children, Family, Political Consulting, Net Worth & More About Sarah Huckabee Sanders’ Husband | Check US Midterm Election 2026Bryan Sanders, whose full name is Bryan Chatfield Sanders, is an American political strategist and Republican campaign consultant. He is widely recognised as the husband of Sarah Huckabee Sanders, who became Arkansas governor in January…
- Op-Ed: Alexa Henning: Don’t make American small businesses pay for a rule aimed at ChinaBut the FCC’s latest move reaches well beyond that threat. In July, the FCC adopted rules stating that online marketplaces can be held accountable when any unauthorized radiofrequency devices are listed for sale, and requiring certified…
- Faith-Based Group Seeks Greater Voter ParticipationMillion Voices expands its nationwide outreach ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, working with pastors and churches to encourage Christian voters to become more involved in the political process. A national organization dedicated to…
- Second Lady Usha Vance Visits Arkansas to Talk Childhood LiteracyArkansas Money & Politics Second Lady Usha Vance Visits Arkansas to Talk Childhood Literacy Second Lady Usha Vance was in Arkansas on Tuesday to promote childhood literacy with Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders. The Second Lady, an outspoken…
- Trump Critic: He's 'Racist' Because He 'Demeans' Black PoliticiansDonald John Trump, that's who. Yes, Trump denounces some black politicians, specifically some black Democrat politicians whom Trump feels have unfairly and viciously attacked him. But Trump, unlike most Republicans who tiptoe around black…
- Arkansas Launches 344 Reforms to Streamline Permits and Cut Red TapeArkansas Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders announced Wednesday, October 21st, that state agencies have identified 344 potential changes to regulations and approval processes aimed at reducing paperwork, speeding up permits and making…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
8%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions