Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Arizona Governor margin of victory
The odds
12.5median
-120
Median 12.5Middle half 11.7 – 13.3
How the odds have moved
Median: 7.74 on Oct 20, 12.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hobbs, 2+ pts | 100% | 99¢ | 17.8K | |||
| Hobbs, 5+ pts | 99% | ▲ 3 | 96¢ | $1.01 | 21.7K | |
| Hobbs, 8+ pts | 99% | ▲ 3 | 98¢ | $1.01 | 20.7K | |
| Hobbs, 11+ pts | 99% | ▲ 1 | 98¢ | 100¢ | 11.2K | |
| Hobbs, 14+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 7.4K | |
| Hobbs, 17+ pts | 1% | 56¢ | $1.79 | 4.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Arizona Governor
Search ›- Arizona Governor Election Live Results 2026AP News AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell you…
- Arizona Governor resultsArizona Governor Election Live Results 2026 AP News AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election…
- Katie Hobbs declares victory in Arizona governor's raceIn a victory speech at a carpenter’s union hall in Maryvale, Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs recounted her history as a perennial underdog whose ability to outperform projections took her from a state senator in a heavily-Republican…
- Katie Hobbs wins re-election for Arizona governorFOX 10 Phoenix In the 2026 Midterm Election, Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs won re-election, defeating her Republican challenger Rep. Andy Biggs. FOX 10's Irene Snyder reports.
- Hobbs reelected Arizona governor; Mayes reelected AGThe Black Chronicle (The Center Square) – Gov. Katie Hobbs was reelected Tuesday in Arizona as Democrats maintained control of the executive branch. This year’s midterms mark the second consecutive time Arizona Democrats have won the…
- Biggs addresses supporters as Hobbs projected to stay Arizona governorLive 5 News Biggs addresses supporters as Hobbs projected to stay Arizona governor Abdul El-Sayed declares victory in Michigan's hotly contested US Senate race Garlin Gilchrist delivers victory speech at Democratic watch party in Detroit…
- Arizona Governor Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsDemocratic Gov. Katie Hobbs is seeking re-election after eking out a victory by less than one percentage point in 2022. Her opponent GOP Rep. Andy Biggs is a close ally of President Donald Trump’s and a member of the conservative House…
- BREAKING: Fraudster Katie Hobbs Wins Reelection for Arizona Governor Against Republican Andy BiggsArizona Governor Katie Hobbs has been declared the winner in the Arizona Governor race against Trump-Endorsed Republican challenger US Rep. Andy Biggs. Hobbs was first selected in 2022 after stealing her election from Trump-Endorsed…
- Arizona governor election: Katie Hobbs takes early lead over Andy BiggsFOX 10 Phoenix Early results show Gov. Katie Hobbs taking an early lead of nearly 20% over Andy Biggs in the race for Arizona governor. FOX 10's Nicole Krasean and Jacob Luthi have the latest on each candidate.
- Arizona governor race: Andy Biggs looks to unseat incumbent Katie HobbsFOX 10 Phoenix Republican candidate and Arizona Rep. Andy Biggs, who has represented communities in the East Valley, is running against Democrat incumbent Katie Hobbs. FOX 10's Jacob Luthi has more on his platform focused on affordability…
- Katie Hobbs projected to win second term as Arizona governorArizona's incumbent Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs defeated her Republican challenger, Rep. Andy Biggs. The race was called by Decision Desk Headquarters and CBS News shortly after 8:30 p.m. Hobbs' projected victory will give her a second…
- Yuma County residents cast their votes for Arizona Governor, Secretary of State and Attorney GeneralYUMA COUNTY, Ariz. (KYMA) - Residents across Yuma County are casting their votes for Arizona Governor, Secretary of State and Attorney General Tuesday. In the Arizona Governor's race, Gov. Katie Hobbs (D-AZ) is running for reelection…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions