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Connecticut Governor margin of victory
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 21 on Oct 20, 18.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamont, 8+ pts | 99% | 98¢ | 1.1K | |||
| Lamont, 11+ pts | 99% | 51¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 242 | |
| Lamont, 14+ pts | 99% | ▲ 1 | 99¢ | 1.8K | ||
| Lamont, 17+ pts | 95% | ▲ 2 | 95¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 2.4K |
| Lamont, 20+ pts | 5% | 59¢ | $1.69 | 2.3K | ||
| Lamont, 23+ pts | 1% | 25¢ | $4.00 | 2.7K | ||
| Lamont, 26+ pts | 1% | 29¢ | $3.45 | 2.4K | ||
| Lamont, 29+ pts | 1% | 25¢ | $4.00 | 1.9K | ||
| Lamont, 32+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 706 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Connecticut Governor
Search ›- Connecticut Governor Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsSee how votes are shifting as results come in across Connecticut. Vote-shift comparisons are shown once enough of the expected vote is in for a township. Connecticut Governor Results 2026 See how votes are shifting as results come in…
- Gov. Lamont wins third term as Connecticut's governorNBC Connecticut Gov. Lamont wins third term as Connecticut's governor
- Ned Lamont Wins a Third Term as Connecticut Governor, a Rare FeatMr. Lamont, 72, is only the second Connecticut governor to earn a third consecutive term in the past 200 years. The first was John G. Rowland, a former rising star in the Republican Party who resigned from office in 2004 because of a…
- Connecticut governor election results 2026: Lamont vs Fazio l LIVEFOX 5 New York CONNECTICUT - It's Election Day 2026, and in Connecticut, it's the governor's race between Gov. Ned Lamont and Republican challenger Ryan Fazio. FOX 5 NY is your home on Election Night. Bookmark our Election Results page to…
- Lamont, Fazio face off in Connecticut governor’s race on Election DayWFSB Lamont, Fazio face off in Connecticut governor’s race on Election Day The Charles restaurant in Wethersfield closes after 6 years Portion of I-95 south closed in Stonington due to crash Federal election monitors to observe New Haven…
- Lamont wins historic third term as Connecticut governorHARTFORD, Conn. (WFSB) - Gov. Ned Lamont will serve a third term as Connecticut’s governor after defeating Republican challenger Ryan Fazio. Lamont, a Democrat, said it is time to get to work. Fazio, a state senator, lost the race but made…
- See live election results from the Connecticut governor's raceSee live election results below. 0% expected vote in Source: NBC News Decision Desk Gov. Ned Lamont is running for a third term while his Republican challenger, State Sen. Ryan Fazio, is running for governor for the first time in his…
- Ned Lamont wins historic third term as Connecticut governorIt completed a mostly easy campaign for the incumbent Democrat, in which Lamont held his own in the two televised debates with Republican state Sen. Ryan Fazio, of Greenwich, and took advantage of Democratic registration and apparent…
- Connecticut governor election 2026: Live resultsNEW HAVEN, Conn. (WTNH) — Gov. Ned Lamont (D), who is seeking a third term, faces state Sen. Ryan Fazio (R) for governor of Connecticut. Lamont, Fazio make final push as Election Day arrives Search for your city or town on the map or in…
- Connecticut Governor Race 2026: Lamont vs. Fazio2026 governor races › Connecticut General election November 3, 2026 · Updated November 1, 2026 Gov. Ned Lamont (D) is seeking a third term. The rating is MultiState's consensus, the average of the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal…
- Connecticut 2026 election resultsCNN Connecticut 2026 election results Live results: Connecticut Governor Follow live results in the Connecticut governor’s race, county by county, as votes are counted on election night. Governor results by county Live results: Connecticut…
- Election 2026 Results: Governor, Statewide Offices2026 election results for Connecticut Governor, Lieutenant Governor, Secretary of the State, Treasurer, Comptroller, and Attorney General. Election 2026 Results: Governor, Statewide Offices 2026 election results, including vote tallies and…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions