Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Florida Governor margin of victory
The odds
1.46median
021
Median 1.46Middle half 1.18 – 1.73
How the odds have moved
Median: 5.60 on Oct 20, 1.46 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donalds, 1+ pts | 92% | ▲ 18 | 92¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 124.9K |
| Donalds, 2+ pts | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 105.3K | ||
| Donalds, 3+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | 251.0K | |||
| Donalds, 4+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | 103.9K | |||
| Donalds, 5+ pts | <1% | 0¢ | 54.8K | |||
| Donalds, 6+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | 134.0K | |||
| Donalds, 7+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | 37.0K | |||
| Donalds, 8+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | 15.9K | |||
| Donalds, 9+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | 53.5K | |||
| Donalds, 12+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | 377.1K | |||
| Donalds, 15+ pts | <1% | 0¢ | 215.9K | |||
| Donalds, 18+ pts | <1% | 0¢ | 170.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Florida Governor
Search ›- Florida Governor-elect Byron Donalds details historic win, future of the GOPFlorida Governor-elect Rep. Byron Donalds joins 'Sunday Morning Futures' to discuss his election victory and the road ahead for the GOP after midterm losses. Florida Governor-elect Byron Donalds details historic win, future of the GOP…
- Florida Governor-elect Byron Donalds vows to lead on state affordabilityFox Business Florida Governor-elect Byron Donalds vows to lead on state affordability Florida Governor-elect Byron Donalds pledges to show other states how to prioritize affordability while maintaining common-sense conservative policies…
- Florida Governor-elect Byron Donalds on his victory amid a blue waveCNN Florida governor-elect Byron Donalds on his victory amid a blue wave Florida Governor-elect Byron Donalds told CNN’s Dana Bash that he is honored to be the first Black governor of his state. He agreed that it was a tough midterms for…
- Florida Governor Ron DeSantis responds to reports he's preparing to run for president again in 2028Tallahassee, Florida - Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has responded after a report claimed he was preparing to run for president again in 2028. On Friday, The Washington Post reported that three anonymous sources close to DeSantis claimed…
- Florida Governor-elect says GOP must focus on lowering costs | CNN PoliticsWhile Republicans saw losses in the midterms, Florida Governor-elect Byron Donalds told CNN’s Dana Bash that if the party focuses on affordability and prices, the “elections will take care of themselves.” New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani…
- Florida governor readies to run for president in 2028 — WPAccording to sources cited by the newspaper, Ron DeSantis has already approached at least one political consultant with a proposal to participate in his election campaign - Russian Politics & Diplomacy Russian Politics & DiplomacyInto…
- Florida Governor-elect Byron Donalds wastes no time setting agendaWe’re just weeks away from Byron Donalds becoming the next governor of Florida, and he’s wasting no time announcing his agenda as he addressed supports of the democrat he defeated, David Jolly. CBS News Miami’s Larry Seward has more…
- RAW VIDEO: Florida Governor-Elect Byron Donalds press conferenceWKMG RAW VIDEO: Florida Governor-Elect Byron Donalds press conference Following Republican candidate Byron Donalds’ victory for the Florida governor’s seat this week, many residents may be wondering: what does he plan to do now? Donalds is…
- Judge blocks Florida governor from labelling Cair a terrorist organisationA federal judge has decided that Florida Governor Ron DeSantis cannot unilaterally designate the largest Muslim-American civil rights organisation as a "terrorist" group because it infringes on First Amendment rights. The temporary…
- Florida governor Ron DeSantis denies report on 2028 presidential runFlorida Governor Ron DeSantis has denied plans to run for president in 2028 after a report claimed he was preparing to seek the Republican nomination. The Washington Post reported on Friday night, citing three people briefed on his plans…
- Ryan Tyson called the Florida Governor’s race on a napkin. The public polls were not as closeThe best polling in Florida is the polling the public never sees. Campaigns and committees pay for it, and it is usually right. The case in point this cycle is Ryan Tyson of The Tyson Group. On Election Day, Axios’ Marc Caputo told people…
- Jolly, Donalds locked in close race for Florida governorFox News Jolly, Donalds locked in close race for Florida governor
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions