Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Florida Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
2.51median
020
Median 2.51Middle half 2.25 – 2.76
How the odds have moved
Median: 7.77 on Oct 20, 2.51 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moody, 1+ pts | >99% | 100¢ | 57.1K | |||
| Moody, 2+ pts | 100% | 99¢ | 83.9K | |||
| Moody, 3+ pts | 2% | ▲ 1 | 0¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 64.7K |
| Moody, 4+ pts | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $34.48 | 101.2K | |
| Moody, 5+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 133.4K | |||
| Moody, 6+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 254.3K | |||
| Moody, 7+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 182.7K | ||
| Moody, 8+ pts | 1% | 3¢ | $40.00 | 287.1K | ||
| Moody, 9+ pts | <1% | 0¢ | 106.6K | |||
| Moody, 10+ pts | <1% | 0¢ | 230.7K | |||
| Moody, 11+ pts | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 141.3K | ||
| Moody, 12+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 293.2K | ||
| Moody, 14+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 123.5K | ||
| Moody, 16+ pts | <1% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | $50.00 | 156.4K | |
| Moody, 18+ pts | <1% | 0¢ | 96.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Florida Senate
Search ›- Florida Senate president names leadership team, tapping Miami-Dade's Ana Maria Rodriguez as pro temporeNovember 5, 2026 / 4:26 PM EST / CBS/News Service of Florida As he prepares to formally take charge of the Florida Senate, President-designate Jim Boyd, R-Bradenton, on Thursday named his leadership team. Miami-Dade County Republican Sen…
- Moody urges national pride after Florida Senate race winNBC News BREAKING: Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs wins re-election in Arizona; Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson wins race for governor
- Ashley Moody wins Florida Senate seat for GOP in tight victoryFox News Ashley Moody wins Florida Senate seat for GOP in tight victory The ‘FOX News Democracy 26’ panel shares its insights into how the tight win for Sen. Ashley Moody, R-Fla., factors into the battle for control of the U.S. Senate.
- Sen. Ashley Moody wins Florida Senate race, NBC News projectsGOP Sen. Ashley Moody wins Florida Senate race, NBC News projects NBC News Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms projected to win Georgia governor's race Sen. Ashley Moody wins Florida Senate race, NBC News projects Talarico leads in key Texas…
- Republican Ashley Moody wins Florida Senate election, CBS News projectsCBS News Boston: Voters Decide CBS News Chicago: Voters Decide CBS News Colorado: Voters Decide CBS News Detroit: Voters Decide CBS News Miami: Voters Decide CBS News New York: Voters Decide CBS News Philadelphia: Voters Decide CBS News…
- Republican Ashley Moody defeats progressive Angie Nixon in Florida Senate raceMoody is elected over Nixon in a contest seen as a measure of whether the state remains reliably Republican US midterm elections – live updates Track live results from all 50 states Ashley Moody fended off a challenge from Angie Nixon, a…
- Brian Nathan Wins Florida Senate District 14 Re-ElectionDemocrat Brian Nathan has won re-election to Florida's Senate District 14, topping more than 52% of the vote in unofficial results with all precincts reporting. The win came in a rematch against Republican Josie Tomkow, whom Nathan had…
- Jay Trumbull reelected to Florida Senate District 2Republican state Sen. Jay Trumbull has won reelection to represent District 2 in the Florida Senate. PANAMA CITY, Fla. — Republican state Sen. Jay Trumbull has won reelection to represent District 2 in the Florida Senate. Trumbull, a…
- Socialism Falls Short in Florida Senate RaceAs of Wednesday morning, with nearly all the votes counted, Moody held 50.87% of the vote to Nixon’s 47.98%, a 2.9% margin of victory, or 239,000 votes. That is a substantial margin of victory, even in a national environment that…
- Ashley Moody Wins Florida Senate Election 2026, Defeating Angie NixonGerardo Gary Ragusa started working in newsrooms with the Associated Press in 2011; since then he's had a keen interest in covering topics that engage readers with thoughtful and fact-based conversations. His interests are in technology…
- Chris Nocco wins Florida Senate District 21 race, ending 15-year run as Pasco sheriffPALM HARBOR — Chris Nocco is headed to Tallahassee after winning the special election for Florida Senate District 21, capping a 15-year run as Pasco County sheriff and setting up a leadership change at the Sheriff's Office. Nocco, a…
- Breaking down early voting in Florida Senate raceCentral Oregon Daily ABC News' Rick Klein breaks down the early voting numbers in Floridaâs Senate race. - Married just 2 months, Prineville business owner loses husband in hunting accident - Frantic 911 call from parent who shot, killed…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions