Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Georgia Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
83%Ossoff, 18+ pts
120
How the odds have moved
Ossoff, 2+ pts: 95% on Oct 20, >99% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ossoff, 2+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 125.8K | |||
| Ossoff, 3+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | 54.5K | ||
| Ossoff, 4+ pts | >99% | 100¢ | 75.2K | |||
| Ossoff, 5+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 58.3K | |||
| Ossoff, 6+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 73.9K | |||
| Ossoff, 7+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 22.3K | |||
| Ossoff, 8+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 87.1K | |||
| Ossoff, 9+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 85.2K | |||
| Ossoff, 10+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 164.2K | |||
| Ossoff, 11+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 118.9K | |||
| Ossoff, 12+ pts | >99% | ▲ 1 | 99¢ | 83.4K | ||
| Ossoff, 13+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 90.8K | |||
| Ossoff, 14+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | 55.4K | ||
| Ossoff, 15+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 37.7K | |||
| Ossoff, 16+ pts | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | 48.2K | ||
| Ossoff, 18+ pts | 83% | ▼ 5 | 81¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 55.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Georgia Senate
Search ›- Who is Herschel Walker? Former football star faces Raphael Warnock in Georgia Senate runoffThe Republican has dealt with controversy on the campaign trail. Republican Herschel Walker hopes to do what former Sen. Kelly Loeffler could not and defeat Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock in a runoff election in Georgia. Walker, a…
- Full speech: Jon Ossoff projected winner in Georgia Senate raceNBC News Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate seat, NBC News projects President Trump speaks to various media outlets reacting to midterm results Full speech: James Talarico projected winner in Texas Senate race Rep. Debbie Dingell: If Democrats…
- Democrat Jon Ossoff projected to hold key Georgia Senate seatLess than one hour after polls closed in Georgia, Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff is projected to hold the key Georgia Senate seat. His victory was not unexpected - Ossoff had a comfortable lead in the polls over his Republican challenger…
- Jon Ossoff projected to easily win reelection in Georgia Senate raceCBS News: America Decides: Election 2026 CBS News Bay Area: Voters Decide CBS News Chicago: Voters Decide CBS News Colorado: Voters Decide CBS News Detroit: Voters Decide CBS News Los Angeles: Voters Decide CBS News Minnesota: Voters…
- Walton County republican elected to Georgia SenateVoters across the five counties represented by Georgia Senate District 46 have selected Republican Marc McMain to serve in Atlanta next year. Voters across the five counties represented by Georgia Senate District 46 have selected…
- Jon Ossoff wins Georgia Senate race over Republican Mike CollinsRising Democratic star made his re-election campaign a referendum on the Trump administration’s misdeeds US midterm elections – live updates Track live results from all 50 states Jon Ossoff has been re-elected to the Senate in Georgia…
- Democrat Jon Ossoff easily beats ‘memer’ GOP Rep. Mike Collins to hold Georgia Senate seatWASHINGTON — Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff easily won a second term Tuesday, defeating GOP Rep. Mike Collins in what was once expected to be a highly competitive race. Follow for live updates on the 2026 Midterm Elections Ossoff was thought…
- Democrat Laura Murvartian Flips Georgia Senate District 48, Ousting Shawn StillDemocrat Laura Murvartian defeated Republican incumbent Shawn Still in Georgia State Senate District 48, flipping a seat Still won in 2022. More than 34,000 votes were cast in the contest, which covered parts of Forsyth, Fulton and…
- APTOPIX Election 2026 Georgia SenateColumbia Missourian Georgia Democratic Senate candidate Sen. Jon Ossoff, D-Ga., walks out during an election night event, Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026, in Atlanta. - To view our latest e-Edition click the image on the left. The Pulse of I-70 A…
- Georgia Historical Races2022 Georgia House Results In Numerical Order - By District 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 ... 2020 Georgia Presidential Results 2022 Georgia Senate Results 2022 Georgia House Results 2022 Georgia Governor Results
- Lieutenant governor hopefuls sharpen personal attacks in debate about leading Georgia Senateby Ty Tagami | Jun 1, 2026 | Capitol Beat News Service ATLANTA — Most of Georgia’s statewide primary races have been settled on either the Democratic or Republican ticket, but the race for leadership of the state Senate remains up for…
- Jon Ossoff addresses supporters after projected win in Georgia Senate raceDemocrat Jon Ossoff addressed supporters after ABC News projected he will win reelection in the Georgia Senate race. ---- Subscribe to ABC News on YouTube: https://abcnews.visitlink.me/59aJ1G ABC News Digital is your daily source of…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions