Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Hawaii Governor margin of victory
The odds
42.4median
1147
Median 42.4Middle half 41.3 – 43.4
How the odds have moved
Median: 35.3 on Oct 20, 42.4 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green, 14+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 1.0K | |||
| Green, 17+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 2.8K | |||
| Green, 20+ pts | 100% | 99¢ | 4.1K | |||
| Green, 23+ pts | 100% | 99¢ | 9.9K | |||
| Green, 26+ pts | 99% | 99¢ | 634 | |||
| Green, 29+ pts | 99% | 76¢ | 100¢ | 351 | ||
| Green, 32+ pts | 99% | 61¢ | 99¢ | 2.5K | ||
| Green, 35+ pts | 84% | 8¢ | 99¢ | 1.7K | ||
| Green, 38+ pts | 84% | 5¢ | 99¢ | 1.5K | ||
| Green, 41+ pts | 84% | 0¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 1.6K | |
| Green, 44+ pts | 9% | 0¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 462 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Hawaii Governor
Search ›- Green re-elected as Hawaii Governor with Kawakami as Lt. Gov. in 2026 Midterm ElectionKITV Hawaii 2026 Midterm Results Are In Incumbent Josh Green and Derek Kawakami react to their win for Hawaii Governor and Lieutenant Governor, following Tuesdayâs results in the 2026 Midterm Election.
- Democrat Josh Green Wins Hawaii Governor's RaceDemocrat Gov. Josh Green is the projected winner of the governor’s race in Hawaii. Green won his reelection bid against Republican challenger Gary Cordery. With 12.1 percent of the vote in, Green saw 78.4 percent of the vote to Cordery’s…
- Hawaii Governor Election 2026: Who Is Josh Green? Campaign Fundraising, Education, Career, Wife, Children, Net Worth And MoreDemocratic Governor of Hawaii Josh Green is contesting for re-election in the upcoming gubernatorial elections on November 3, 2026, against Republican candidate Gary Cordery. Joshua B. Green, better known as Josh Green, is a Democratic…
- Who is Josh Green? Incumbent Hawaii governor has raised nearly 10 times more campaign funds than his Republican challenger Gary CorderyHawaii is gearing up for a crucial gubernatorial showdown as incumbent Democrat Josh Green faces off against Republican contender Gary Cordery. With early voting wrapping up on November 2, just days before the general election, Green has…
- Fans of DemocracyHawaii News Now "Fans of Democracy" is hosted by veteran Hawaii News Now political reporter Daryl Huff, who has covered local politics for nearly 50 years, and UH Mānoa professor Colin Moore, who holds a doctorate in government from…
- Ikaika Anderson prevails as trusteeWednesday, November 4, 2026 82° Today's Paper Former Honolulu City Council member Ikaika Anderson captured the largest share of votes Tuesday for an at-large seat on the Office of Hawaiian Affairs Board of Trustees. Anderson rose to the…
- 'Blood clots surge like never before…': Dr McCullough's chilling revelations on mRNA COVID vaccinesThe Economic Times Senateâs Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations held a crucial hearing titled "The Corruption of Science and Federal Health Agencies: How Health Officials Downplayed and Hid Myocarditis and Other Adverse Events…
- Hawaii governor supports bill to protect Kamehameha Schools admissions policyHawaii state leaders are taking action to defend Kamehameha Schools' admissions policy amid a federal lawsuit challenging its preference for Native Hawaiians. Governor Josh Green and several lawmakers are standing with Kamehameha Schools…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions