Iowa Governor margin of victory

Kalshi Elections › Governors Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $706 today · $198K traded · $12K at stake · prices read 26 min ago

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The odds

10.5median
-118
Median 10.5Middle half 9.73 – 11.3

How the odds have moved

Median: 5.28 on Oct 20, 10.5 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Sand, 1+ pts >99% 100¢ 5.4K
Sand, 3+ pts >99% 99¢ 58.6K
Sand, 4+ pts >99% 99¢ 11.1K
Sand, 6+ pts 99% 99¢ 100¢ 46.8K
Sand, 7+ pts 99% 99¢ 100¢ 12.1K
Sand, 9+ pts 99% 98¢ 100¢ 64.9K
Sand, 12+ pts 2% 0¢ 3¢ $34.48 18.0K
Sand, 15+ pts 2% 6¢ $17.54 54.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Iowa Governor

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  • Iowa Governor resultsAP News · 6 days agoIowa Governor Election Live Results 2026 AP News AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts…
  • Iowa Governor-elect Rob Sandiowapbs.org · 3 days agoOn this edition of Iowa Press, Iowa Governor-elect Rob Sand discusses his election victory this week, the upcoming transition, and his priorities for when he takes the oath of office in January. Joining moderator Kay Henderson at the Iowa…
  • Democrat Rob Sand wins Iowa governor's race, defeating MAHA Republican Zach LahnCBS News · 6 days agoUpdated on: November 3, 2026 / 11:21 PM EST / CBS News CBS News projects Rob Sand will win the Iowa governor's office, the first Democrat to be elected to the governor's mansion since 2006 and defeating Zach Lahn, an outsider Republican…
  • Democrat Rob Sand wins Iowa governor's race, ending GOP control of the officeNPR · 6 days agoDemocrat Rob Sand, seen here speaking to the media after a debate last month, has won election for Iowa governor. Charlie Neibergall/AP hide caption Midterms coverage: Live results | What to know | Stories around the countryStay connected…
  • New Iowa governor Rob Sand was once a Prada model@thecomeback · 4 days agoRob Sand pulled off one of the biggest wins of the night for Democrats on Tuesday, winning the Iowa governor’s race in a state that President Donald Trump carried three times. But it turns out that his political career isn’t the only…
  • What will Rob Sand do as Iowa governor? His record offers cluesCourier · 4 days agoZach Lahn, Republican candidate for Iowa Governor, gives a speech about the campaign he ran following his loss to Democrat Rob Sand. AP called the race for Sand shortly after 10 p.m. As Iowa's state auditor, Rob Sand spent years…
  • Iowa governor election results 2026The Washington Post · 6 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The Justice Department…
  • Rob Sand elected as Iowa Governor@KTTCTV · 5 days agoKTTC | Rochester, MN Rob Sand elected as Iowa Governor Jake Johnson claims historic upset in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District Rochester mayoral candidates share reactions to election results Klobuchar lays out transition plan in…
  • Iowa Governor, Senator seats flip blue in Rob Sand, Josh Turekweareiowa.com · 6 days agoweareiowa.com Iowa Governor, Senator seats flip blue in Rob Sand, Josh Turek To stream WeAreIowa on your phone, you need the WeAreIowa app. Download the WeAreIowa app Next up in 5 Example video title will go here for this video Before You…
  • Reynolds congratulates Rob Sand after Iowa governor race resultsKGAN · 6 days agoKGAN Iowa Governor Kim Reynolds issued a statement Wednesday after the midterm election results: "Iowans exercised their right to vote yesterday, electing Rob Sand as Iowa’s next governor I spoke with him this morning to offer my…
  • Democrat Rob Sand wins Iowa Governor Race@WOWT6News · 6 days agoWOWT Democrat Rob Sand wins Iowa Governor Race Denise Powell becomes second woman elected to represent Nebraska in Congress Mark Martinez leads in Douglas County Sheriff race Don Kleine reacts to Douglas County Attorney election results…
  • Rob Sand and Zach Lahn clash over Kansas ties, family money in Iowa governor's raceCBS News · 7 days agoNovember 3, 2026 / 10:14 AM CST / AP Iowa voters will choose their next governor in Tuesday's midterm elections, deciding between Democrat Rob Sand and Republican Zach Lahn in a race that could end conservative dominance across state…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions