Idaho Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $52.2K traded · $34.3K at stake · prices read 15 min ago

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The odds

23.5median
141
Median 23.5Middle half 22.5 – 24.3

How the odds have moved

Median: 8.72 on Oct 20, 23.5 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Risch, 3+ pts >99% 99¢ 3.6K
Risch, 5+ pts >99% 100¢ 3.9K
Risch, 7+ pts 99% 99¢ 2.6K
Risch, 9+ pts 99% 99¢ 4.0K
Risch, 11+ pts 99% ▲ 1 98¢ 100¢ 12.9K
Risch, 13+ pts 99% 98¢ 4.2K
Risch, 15+ pts 99% 98¢ 5.3K
Risch, 17+ pts 99% 87¢ 99¢ $1.01 3.2K
Risch, 19+ pts 97% 87¢ 100¢ 5.6K
Risch, 21+ pts 97% 98¢ $1.03 5.0K
Risch, 23+ pts 67% 67¢ 100¢ 3.5K
Risch, 25+ pts 2% 1¢ 100¢ 1.8K
Risch, 27+ pts 2% 1¢ 24¢ $4.17 4.5K
Risch, 29+ pts 2% 1¢ 24¢ $4.17 2.3K
Risch, 31+ pts 1% 1¢ $100.00 3.3K
Risch, 33+ pts 1% 1¢ $100.00 2.3K
Risch, 35+ pts 1% 2¢ $50.00 1.1K
Risch, 37+ pts 1% 2¢ $50.00 2.7K
Risch, 39+ pts <1% 0¢ 8.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Idaho Senate

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  • Jim Risch re-elected to Idaho SenateYahoo News · 5 days agoFor some young Africans, these victories offer a glimpse of what a new generation of voters could do at home. The US vice-president was commenting for the first time since Republicans lost control of Congress - Donald Trump has also…
  • Did the nation’s ‘blue wave’ reach Idaho’s red shores?Idaho Press · 3 days agoThe Idaho State Capitol building is seen at the start of the 2025 legislative session. After an election night that saw national Democrats take control of the House and the Senate, it was obvious that a predicted “blue wave” had in fact…
  • Idaho 2026 election resultsCNN · 7 days agoCNN Idaho 2026 election results Live results: Idaho Senate Follow live results in the Idaho Senate race, county by county, as votes are counted on election night. Senate results by county Live results: Idaho Governor Follow live results in…
  • Opinion: We need to restoring sustainable reimbursement rates for healthcare providersPost Register · 4 days agoIdaho is built on faith and strong neighbor-helping-neighbor communities. We have repeatedly been taught to look after the vulnerable. True stewardship isn't just about cutting expenses; it is about ensuring that our poor, sick, and…
  • Idaho Rep. Russ Fulcher holds large lead on election nightKXLY kxly.com · 6 days agoBOISE, Idaho - Idaho voters want incumbent Rep. Russ Fulcher to serve a fifth term in Congress. Local news coverage from KXLY+ Spokane County Fire District 3 proposition 1 Spokane County Fire District 9 Proposition one and two BOISE, Idaho…
  • Democrats Flip Two Seats in West Boise Swing District, Leading in Two OthersDailyfly News · 6 days agoOriginally published by Idaho Education News | November 3, 2026 Voters in west Boise on Tuesday elected Democrat Nancy Gregory to the Idaho Senate and Democrat Jae Etchart to the House, flipping two seats in District 15, a key swing…
  • Russ Fulcher wins fifth term in U.S. HouseIdaho Press · 6 days agoU.S. Rep. Russ Fulcher delivers his acceptance speech at the Idaho Republican Party 2022 General Election Night Celebration at The Grove Hotel in Boise, on Nov. 8, 2022. Fulcher, along with fellow Idaho Rep. Mike Simpson, voted in favor of…
  • Sen. Lenney to challenge Anthon for top Senate leadership postIdaho Education News · 7 days agoSen. Brian Lenney, a Nampa Republican, announced Monday that he will challenge Senate President Pro Tempore Kelly Anthon in December for the top leadership position in the Idaho Senate. If elected by his fellow Senate Republicans in…
  • Dave Lent and Jan Brown go head-to-head in closely watched raceLocal News 8 · 7 days agoDemocrat Jan Brown and Republican Dave Lent speak about the rising costs of fuel, housing, groceries, health care and other essentials – and the role government should play in addressing inflation. IDAHO FALLS, Idaho (KIFI) – With one day…
  • Who Is Brad Little? Idaho Governor’s Education, Political Career, Wife, Children, Net Worth And Latest NewsThe Sunday Guardian · 8 days agoBrad Little is an American politician and a member of the Republican Party serving as the 33rd Governor of Idaho since January 7, 2019. As a rancher and businessman, he started his political career through the Idaho State Senate then…
  • 2026 Idaho Election Results270toWin.com · 9 days agoFind your elected officials 2026 Senate Battle for Control > Idaho Idaho Senate Polls Republican Sen. Jim Risch is seeking a fourth term. Democratic nominee David Roth withdrew, leaving independent Todd Achilles as his main challenger…
  • Republican Russ Fulcher seeks fifth term representing North Idaho in Congress, facing Democratic and independent challengersYahoo News · 12 days agoOct. 28—COEUR d'ALENE, Idaho — Speaking to supporters in the final stretch of her third campaign against incumbent Rep. Russ Fulcher in Idaho's 1st Congressional District, Democrat Kaylee Peterson knew she had her work cut out for her…

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