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Illinois Governor margin of victory
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 22.6 on Oct 20, 30.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pritzker, 6+ pts | 98% | 92¢ | 99¢ | 1.4K | ||
| Pritzker, 9+ pts | 98% | 72¢ | 99¢ | 2.1K | ||
| Pritzker, 12+ pts | 98% | 72¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.5K | |
| Pritzker, 15+ pts | 96% | 76¢ | 99¢ | 3.4K | ||
| Pritzker, 18+ pts | 96% | 72¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 3.5K | |
| Pritzker, 21+ pts | 95% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 952 | |
| Pritzker, 24+ pts | 58% | 5¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 425 | |
| Pritzker, 27+ pts | 52% | 25¢ | $4.00 | 820 | ||
| Pritzker, 30+ pts | 52% | 1¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 2.4K | |
| Pritzker, 33+ pts | 5% | ▼ 12 | 10¢ | $10.00 | 127 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Illinois Governor
Search ›- Illinois Governor Election Live Results 2026AP News AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell you…
- Illinois governor election 2026 race between JB Pritzker, Darren Bailey gets under way as voters hit the pollsNovember 3, 2026 / 6:00 AM CST / CBS Chicago The 2026 Illinois governor election is under way on Election Day, as voters flocked to the poll to decide if they'll give incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker a third term in his rematch against…
- What to watch in Illinois’ governor, Senate and congressional racesFOX 32 Chicago Former Illinois Republican Party Chairman Pat Brady discusses the state’s major races, early voting, the Chicago school board election and what results could mean for both parties.
- Illinois Governor JB Pritzker visits Rockford to kick off the midterm electionsWIFR Illinois Governor JB Pritzker visits Rockford to kick off the midterm elections Election 2026: How to follow Illinois midterm results Couples getting ready to tie the knot encouraged to check out Beloit Boutique Wedding Showcase…
- JB Pritzker, Darren Bailey face off in Election Day rematch for Illinois governorSPRINGFIELD, Ill. (WLS) -- Illinois voters are heading to the polls on Election Day, with the race for Illinois governor at the top of the ballot. Democratic Governor JB Pritzker is seeking a historic third term facing off once again…
- ‘Don’t Blame Trump For Your Failures’: Illinois Governor JB Pritzker Slammed After Calling Trump and Darren Bailey ‘Too Extreme’Pritzker’s feud against Trump continues Illinois Governor JB Pritzker criticized U.S. President Donald Trump just ahead of the midterms, sparking backlash on social media. Several seemingly conservative users had harsh words for Pritzker…
- Pritzker, Bailey make final pitches to voters in Illinois governor's raceOn Monday, the day before Election Day, Democratic Gov. JB Pritzker and Republican Darren Bailey spent the day making final pitches to voters. Rose Schmidt reports. The candidates for Illinois governor, Democratic Gov. JB Pritzker and…
- JB Pritzker and Darren Bailey square off again in Illinois governor raceA gubernatorial rematch four years in the making comes to a head Tuesday night in Gov. JB Pritzker’s bid for a rare third term over Republican challenger Darren Bailey. Independent candidate Collin Corbett, a fiscal conservative who…
- Who will win Illinois governor race between Pritzker, Bailey? Here's what polls sayIllinois Gov. JB Pritzker is heavily favored to win his rematch with Republican candidate Darren Bailey, according to two polls. In his quest for a third term, the Democratic incumbent leads Bailey 58.7% to 41.3% points in the latest…
- DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin Slams Illinois Governor Over Noncitizen Police Officers: ‘Green Card Holders Are Not Illegal Aliens’That’s an interesting take The accusations quickly attracted attention from comments demanding federal intervention, with some calling for Pritzker to face criminal charges over the policy. However, others challenged Mullin’s description…
- Who Is JB Pritzker? Illinois Governor Seeks Third Term In US Midterm Elections 2026; Education, Political Career, Wife, Children, Net Worth And Latest NewsJay Robert “JB” Pritzker was born on January 19, 1965, in Atherton, California. He is one of the members of the famous Pritzker family with all their business ties like the Hyatt chain of hotels. He attended Duke University where he…
- Illinois Governor Race: Pritzker vs. Bailey on AffordabilityWith five days left before Illinois voters decide the governor's race, Gov. JB Pritzker and Republican challenger Darren Bailey spent Thursday making dueling pitches on the same issue: who can actually make life more affordable. Pritzker…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions