Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
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Kansas Governor margin of victory
The odds
16%Holscher, 1+ pts
-27
How the odds have moved
Holscher, 1+ pts: 20% on Oct 19, 16% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Nov 9, 7 PM ETHolscher, 1+ pts: 58% → 16%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Nov 4, 11 PM ETHolscher, 1+ pts: 90% → 6%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holscher, 1+ pts | 16% | ▲ 6 | 6¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 18.1K |
| Holscher, 4+ pts | 1% | 1¢ | $90.91 | 8.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kansas Governor
Search ›- Kansas governor's race nears the finish line as Masterson, Holscher make final push to votersKSHB 41 Kansas City Kansas governor's race nears the finish line as Masterson, Holscher make final push to voters
- 'Doesn't matter if you're red or blue': Data centers emerge as key issue in Kansas governor raceThe data center debate has become one of the top issues nationwide, and it's playing a role in this year's Kansas governor race. The De Soto, Kansas, community knows this topic all too well. In De Soto, two data center projects are moving…
- How close is the Kansas governor race? Here’s what the latest polling data showsPollsters, political forecasters and prediction markets have spent months setting expectations for the race between longtime Kansas Senate rivals Ty Masterson and Cindy Holscher. On Tuesday, Sunflower State voters will choose their next…
- Tax claims at the center of Kansas governor’s race adsWICHITA, Kan. (KWCH) - The Kansas governor’s race is close in the polls heading into Tuesday, and voters are seeing a lot of ads in the race. Since the beginning of the year, voters have heard two claims from both candidates, Ty Masterson…
- The Kansas governor race is now rated a ‘toss-up.’ Here’s why it may matter the mostKansas has captured America’s imagination as pundits, high-dollar donors and the president himself have descended on the state ahead of Election Day. But the focus on a hypercompetitive U.S. Senate race could be allowing another…
- Lack of property tax relief prompts finger-pointing in Kansas governor’s raceOct 29, 2026 - 9:22pm TOPEKA — Kansas Senate President Ty Masterson shared with television viewers Jan. 12, 2021, a vision for how Republicans could deal with runaway property taxes. In the reply to Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly’s State of…
- November 3, 2026 Election Results: Kansas US Senate race | Rep. Roger Marshall vs. Adam HamiltonAll results | All Kansas results | Kansas Governor | Kansas US House | Kansas District 2 | Kansas District 3 | Kansas AG | Kansas Executive races The battle for the U.S. Senate seat in Kansas between Sen. Roger Marshall and Democrat Adam…
- ‘Just be kind’: Kansas Gov. Laura Kelly offers job advice to potential successorsGov. Laura Kelly, on the cusp of completing her second term as Kansas governor, answers a question on her job advice to the next governor during the Oct. 29 Kansas Economic Policy Conference at the University of Kansas. LAWRENCE — Outgoing…
- Your 2026 Election Day guide: A look at the key races across Kansas on the eve of the midtermsWICHITA, Kan. (KWCH) - With one day left until the midterm elections, many races -- in Kansas and nationwide -- appear to be tossups. Still up in the air are the U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Roger Marshall and challenger…
- November 3, 2026 Election Results: Kansas US House racesAll results | All Kansas results | Kansas Governor | Kansas US Senate | Kansas District 2 | Kansas District 3 | Kansas AG | Kansas Executive races Two strong incumbents, U.S. Rep. Derek Schmidt, and U.S. Rep. Sharice Davids are seeking…
- Headlines for Tuesday, November 3, 2026Early Voting Up in Douglas, Johnson Counties Man Convicted in 2023 Topeka Shootings Children’s Mercy Hospital Lays off More Than 100 Workers Topeka Thrift Store Shifts to Online Auctions TOPEKA, Kan. (KPR) — A thrift store in Topeka is…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions