Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Kentucky Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
13.9median
838
Median 13.9Middle half 11.6 – 15.0
How the odds have moved
Median: 17 on Oct 19, 13.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barr, 10+ pts | 95% | ▼ 4 | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 13.9K |
| Barr, 12+ pts | 70% | ▲ 5 | 71¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 817 |
| Barr, 14+ pts | 49% | 29¢ | $3.45 | 633 | ||
| Barr, 16+ pts | 3% | 25¢ | $4.00 | 2.8K | ||
| Barr, 18+ pts | 3% | 25¢ | $4.00 | 842 | ||
| Barr, 20+ pts | 3% | ▲ 4 | 10¢ | $10.10 | 5.6K | |
| Barr, 22+ pts | 1% | 24¢ | $4.17 | 2.1K | ||
| Barr, 24+ pts | 1% | 24¢ | $4.17 | 3.2K | ||
| Barr, 26+ pts | 1% | 24¢ | $4.17 | 1.7K | ||
| Barr, 32+ pts | 1% | 23¢ | $4.35 | 1.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kentucky Senate
Search ›- Former President Obama endorses Charles Booker in Kentucky Senate raceNovember 1, 2026 / 9:00 AM EST / CBS News Former President Barack Obama endorsed Democratic nominee Charles Booker in the Kentucky Senate race on Sunday, two days before Election Day. "I'm proud to support Charles Booker for the U.S…
- Williams, Funke Frommeyer win reelection to Kentucky SenateThe votes are in. See the results. Explore results from Northern Kentucky’s 2026 General Election. Republican state Sens. Edwin “Gex” Williams and Shelley Funke Frommeyer secured reelection to the Kentucky Senate in Tuesday’s general…
- Republican Andy Barr Defeats Democrat Charles Booker In Kentucky Senate RaceRepublican Andy Barr defeats Democrat Charles Booker in Kentucky's 2026 Senate race, winning the seat being vacated by longtime Senator Mitch McConnell Andy Barr defeated Charles Booker in Kentucky's Senate race, keeping the seat in…
- Barr and Booker make final appeals before Kentucky Senate voteWBKO Barr and Booker make final appeals before Kentucky Senate vote What to know before heading to the polls in Kentucky Over 4,000 voters show out for early voting in Warren County on first day
- Kentucky Senate Race CalledOne of the first U.S. Senate races of the 2026 midterms has been called. Kentucky Republican Rep. Andy Barr has defeated Democrat Charles Booker for the U.S. Senate seat held by retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell. President Donald Trump…
- Bank advocate Andy Barr clinches Kentucky Senate seatWASHINGTON — Andy Barr has won Kentucky's open Senate seat, sending one of the banking industry's biggest advocates to the Senate. Barr in the House Financial Services Committee was a leading voice on the panel's crypto and housing bills…
- Rep. Barr Wins Kentucky Senate Seat Held by McConnellRepublican Rep. Andy Barr won Kentucky's open U.S. Senate seat Tuesday, defeating former Democrat state Rep. Charles Booker to succeed retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell, whose departure ends more than four decades in the chamber. Newsmax and…
- Obama endorses Charles Booker in Kentucky Senate raceLEXINGTON, Ky. (WKYT) - Former President Barack Obama endorsed Democratic nominee Charles Booker in the Kentucky U.S. Senate race on Sunday, two days before Election Day, according to CBS News. Booker is running against Republican Rep…
- Barack Obama endorses Charles Booker in tight Kentucky Senate race to succeed Mitch McConnellLOUISVILLE, Ky. (WBKO) - With Election Day just days away, former President Barack Obama announced his endorsement of Democrat Charles Booker in Kentucky’s closely watched race to succeed outgoing U.S. Sen. Mitch McConnell. The…
- Former President Barack Obama endorses Charles Booker to fill Kentucky's Senate seatFormer President Barack Obama has endorsed Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Charles Booker ahead of Kentucky's 2026 general election, according to Booker's campaign. The site Tucker Carlson co-founded is at the vanguard of a Republican…
- Kentucky Senate candidate Christopher Campbell calls US military’s global footprint ‘waste of money’, pushes defense budget reductionChristopher Campbell of the Kentucky Party is facing off against Democratic candidate Charles Booker and Republican nominee Andy Barr for the Kentucky Senate seat in the U.S. midterm elections scheduled for November 3. Ahead of the…
- Bill Hemmer breaks down Kentucky’s key congressional racesFox News Bill Hemmer breaks down Kentucky’s key congressional races Fox News co-host Bill Hemmer joins ‘Fox News Democracy 26’ to discuss the House race in Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District and the Kentucky Senate race between Andy…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions