Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Maine Governor margin of victory
The odds
16.5median
030
Median 16.5Middle half 15.7 – 17.3
How the odds have moved
Median: 14.2 on Oct 20, 16.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pingree, 3+ pts | 99% | 60¢ | 20.00 | |||
| Pingree, 6+ pts | 99% | 60¢ | 1.1K | |||
| Pingree, 9+ pts | 99% | 68¢ | 4.3K | |||
| Pingree, 12+ pts | 99% | 61¢ | 878 | |||
| Pingree, 15+ pts | 95% | 50¢ | 100¢ | 2.2K | ||
| Pingree, 18+ pts | 5% | 5¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 1.6K | |
| Pingree, 21+ pts | 3% | $39.22 | 396 | |||
| Pingree, 24+ pts | 3% | $39.22 | 5.0K | |||
| Pingree, 27+ pts | 1% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Maine Governor
Search ›- Poll: U.S. Senate, Maine governor races tightMAINE (WABI) - We are exactly one week away from the midterm election. Democratic challenger Troy Jackson has a 2-point lead over incumbent Senator Susan Collins, 49% to 47%. The poll factors in Mainers who are likely to vote in the…
- Independent Rick Bennett pushes common-ground politics in Maine governor bidBANGOR, Maine (WABI) - Independent candidate for governor Rick Bennett says it’s time for a different kind of politics — one that starts with common ground. Bennett says running without a party label lets him focus on Maine as a whole. He…
- Your Vote 2026 Maine Calling candidate interview: Hannah Pingree, Democrat for governorElection Day is fast approaching, and Maine voters will decide a new governor as well as races for U.S. Senate and Congress. Maine Calling host Jennifer Rooks spoke with Hannah Pingree, the Democratic candidate for Maine governor. She was…
- Maine governor candidates lay out housing plans, budget prioritiesRenee joined Mainebiz in 2017 after more than two decades as a journalist in Europe and was promoted to deputy editor in 2025. She covers beats including startups, small business and banking and finance and has won several awards for her…
- Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
- Your Vote 2026 Maine Calling candidate interview: Rick Bennett, independent for governorElection Day is fast approaching, and Maine voters will decide a new governor as well as races for U.S. Senate and Congress. Maine Calling host Jennifer Rooks spoke with Rick Bennett, the independent candidate for Maine governor. Rooks…
- Independent candidates hold the key to our democracy | OpinionSam Hunkler of Beals was a 2022 independent candidate for Maine governor. It’s a squeal I often heard while collecting signatures to get on the ballot. “You’re going to split the vote,” a political party cry. One woman was beside herself…
- Maine firefighters union endorses Collins, PingreeWELLS, Maine (WABI/WMTW) - The Professional Firefighters of Maine and International Association of Fire Fighters endorsed candidates from both parties Thursday, backing Sen. Susan Collins and gubernatorial candidate Hannah Pingree. Collins…
- McGuinness welcomes Maine Governor to Leinster House for discussions on trade, maritime affairs and Irish unity – Conor D. McGuinness TDSinn Féin TD for Waterford Conor D. McGuinness welcomed Governor Janet Mills to Leinster House as part of his ongoing engagement to deepen relations between Ireland and the State of Maine. As Cathaoirleach of the Oireachtas Committee on…
- Anti-Trump Maine voters to decide fate of GOP's only New England senatorBANGOR, Maine − As the only Republican senator from a state that President Donald Trump lost in 2024, Maine's Susan Collins was supposed to be the most vulnerable Senate Republican up for re-election in 2026. Trump's presidency is…
- Maine 2026 Election Results2026 results › Maine General election, November 3, 2026 Results will appear on this page on election night, November 3, 2026, as votes are counted. The last polls in Maine close at 8 PM ET. Follow every state live → On the Maine ballot…
- Letter: Rick Bennett advocated for Mainers most in needBangor Daily News Letters submitted by BDN readers are verified by BDN Opinion Page staff. Send your letters to [email protected] I will be voting for Rick Bennett for governor because I believe he is way ahead in vision…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions