Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Maine Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
5.54median
015
Median 5.54Middle half 5.25 – 5.82
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.67 on Oct 20, 5.54 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson, 1+ pts | >99% | 100¢ | 118.3K | |||
| Jackson, 2+ pts | 100% | 99¢ | 100¢ | 40.9K | ||
| Jackson, 3+ pts | 99% | ▼ 1 | 99¢ | 100¢ | 171.7K | |
| Jackson, 4+ pts | 99% | ▲ 1 | 98¢ | 100¢ | 58.3K | |
| Jackson, 5+ pts | 97% | ▼ 2 | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 127.1K |
| Jackson, 6+ pts | 9% | ▼ 9 | 6¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 89.3K |
| Jackson, 7+ pts | 2% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 101.1K |
| Jackson, 8+ pts | 2% | 0¢ | 4¢ | $22.73 | 8.7K | |
| Jackson, 9+ pts | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $34.48 | 25.5K | |
| Jackson, 11+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | 10.9K | ||
| Jackson, 13+ pts | 1% | 3¢ | $34.48 | 18.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Maine Senate
Search ›- ‘I was caught up in the Trump Tsunami,’ says Susan Collins after losing Maine Senate seatSusan Collins who was running for a sixth Senate term, lost the Maine race to Troy Jackson on Tuesday. Reflecting on her defeat, the Republican said, “I was caught up in the Trump Tsunami that swept away many incumbent Republican senators…
- Sen. Susan Collins Says Voters Ignore Her Breaks With Donald Trump After 'Tsunami' Costs Her Maine Senate SeatIn the wake of her Maine Senate seat going to a Democrat in the midterm landslide, Susan Collins has taken aim at Republican voters and defended her record in the Senate. Collins claimed she stood up to Trump. BY: MEGA In an interview with…
- Democrat Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate race over Republican Susan CollinsNPR Democrat Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate race over Republican Susan Collins Democrat Troy Jackson defeated Republican incumbent Susan Collins for U.S. Senate in Maine, a crucial flip for Democrats.
- Susan Collins Concedes in Maine Senate raceNBC News Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate seat, NBC News projects President Trump speaks to various media outlets reacting to midterm results Rep. Debbie Dingell: If Democrats don't deliver, voters will send another message in two years…
- Looking into how Troy Jackson was able to unseat Sen. Susan Collins in Maine's Senate raceU.S. Sen.-elect Troy Jackson (D-Maine) did something that no one has been able to do in more than 30 years: defeat Republican Sen. Susan Collins in a statewide election. In 1994, Collins won the Republican primary for Maine governor, but…
- Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate seat, NBC News projectsDemocrat Troy Jackson has defeated five-term incumbent Republican Sen. Susan Collins in the race for Senate in Maine, NBC News projects. NBC News' Steve Kornacki breaks down how the results in Bangor, Maine, benefited Jackson. El-Sayed…
- Troy Jackson topples Republican Susan Collins in Maine Senate race | CNN PoliticsDemocrat Troy Jackson defeated five-term Republican Sen. Susan Collins in Maine, despite only becoming his party's nominee in July. House Speaker Mike Johnson alluded to the challenging political headwinds the party in power typically…
- Maine Senate race could take days to decide under ranked-choice votingFox News national correspondent Bryan Llenas reports from Maine as Republican Sen. Susan Collins faces Democrat Troy Jackson in a tight Senate race. Maine Senate race could take days to decide under ranked-choice voting Fox News national…
- Lucien Daigle wins Maine Senate District 1 raceRepublican Lucien Daigle has won the race for Maine Senate District 1, defeating Democrat Vaughn McLaughlin in Tuesday’s general election, according to The Associated Press. Daigle, a Fort Kent resident and current member of the Maine…
- Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate race over Susan Collins, in major coup for DemocratsTroy Jackson speaks at the Bangor Cross Insurance Center on July 24, 2026 in Bangor, Maine. Ashley L. Conti for NPR hide caption Midterms coverage: Live results | What to know | Stories around the countryStay connected: NPR Politics…
- Susan Collins' Maine Senate office vandalized with 'disturbing' graffiti on night before Election DayProtesters swarmed Senator Susan Collins’ office and entered through the front doors, chanting "vote her out, The Biddeford, Maine, office of Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, was vandalized Monday night for the second time in a month, Collins'…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions