Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Mississippi Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
0.73median
01.80
Median 0.73Middle half 0.57 – 0.94
How the odds have moved
Median: 0.73 on Nov 5, 0.73 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colom, 0.2+ pts | 97% | 96¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 15.0K | |
| Colom, 0.4+ pts | 90% | ▼ 2 | 88¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 22.6K |
| Colom, 0.6+ pts | 72% | ▼ 18 | 71¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 29.6K |
| Colom, 0.8+ pts | 37% | ▼ 3 | 35¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 33.9K |
| Colom, 1.2+ pts | 4% | ▼ 2 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $22.73 | 28.5K |
| Colom, 1.4+ pts | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $18.18 | 7.2K | |
| Colom, 1.6+ pts | 2% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $41.67 | 2.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Mississippi Senate
Search ›- Razor-tight Mississippi Senate race sparks ballot battle - could there be a recount?The Democrats hold a narrow lead over the Republicans in the US Senate race in Mississippi, with both sides in a dispute over the counting of the remaining votes which could decide the outcome. Lawyers for each campaign are preparing for a…
- Colom says Hyde-Smith 'doesn't have' path to victory in Mississippi Senate raceColom says Hyde-Smith ‘doesn’t have’ path to victory in Mississippi Senate race CNN Colom says Hyde-Smith ‘doesn’t have’ path to victory in Mississippi Senate race The Democratic candidate for Senate in Mississippi, Scott Colom, says…
- Mississippi Senate: Longshot Ty Pinkins says he aimed to spoil Hyde-Smith, boost Colom voteLongshot Mississippi Senate candidate Ty Pinkins at first wanted to win — but says he stayed in to spoil. Pinkins told a local TV station he remained in the race after an April poll showed he had no chance to boost Democratic nominee Scott…
- No one knows how many ballots are outstanding in Mississippi's Senate raceBut no one can say for sure how many ballots there are left to count. The razor-thin margin between incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith and Democratic challenger Scott Colom is shining a light on an election process in Mississippi…
- Colom leads Mississippi Senate race, Hyde-Smith says she is 'not backing down' | Live Updates from Fox News DigitalDemocrat Scott Colom has maintained a razor-thin lead over his Republican opponent, Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith, in the race to become Mississippi's next senator. Should Colom win, he'd become the state's first Black U.S. senator since…
- Democrat Scott Colom argues GOP rival ‘doesn’t have’ path to victory in Mississippi Senate raceMeanwhile, in the House, Democrats are pushing toward a historic majority as more races are called. • In the House: Democrats, who have won their largest majority in nearly 20 years, are on the verge of exceeding the 257 seats at the start…
- Mississippi Senate race still too close to call with 95% of ballots countedCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Latest on…
- Mississippi Senate election: Democrat Scott Colom narrowly leads Republican Cindy Hyde-SmithMississippi's uncalled Senate election could provide one of the biggest shocks in a midterm election cycle already chock full of stunning Republican defeats. Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith, the GOP incumbent, is trailing Democratic nominee Scott…
- Alaska, Mississippi Senate races separated by razor-thin vote marginsFormer DOJ chief of staff Chad Mizelle weighs in on the highly contested Alaska Senate race between Mary Peltola and Dan Sullivan. Mizelle also analyzes the potential future of the Supreme Court following reports that Justice Samuel Alito…
- Mississippi Senate race heads to an extended vote count and possible ballot battleThe Mississippi Senate race may take days to resolve, as Democrat Scott Colom leads GOP Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith by just 65 votes in the current vote count. And as more votes continue to be counted, all eyes are on an unknown number of…
- Election 2026 Mississippi SenategoSkagit - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) There was a problem reporting this. Keep it Clean. Please avoid obscene, vulgar, lewd, racist or sexually-oriented language. To view our latest…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions