Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Mississippi Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
1%Hyde-Smith, 1+ pts
-125
How the odds have moved
Hyde-Smith, 1+ pts: 90% on Oct 24, 1% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Nov 3, 11 PM ETHyde-Smith, 1+ pts: 82% → 21%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyde-Smith, 1+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | 63.6K | |
| Hyde-Smith, 3+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | 33.8K | ||
| Hyde-Smith, 5+ pts | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | 47.4K | ||
| Hyde-Smith, 7+ pts | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | 166.2K | ||
| Hyde-Smith, 9+ pts | <1% | 0¢ | 46.2K | |||
| Hyde-Smith, 10+ pts | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | 61.9K | ||
| Hyde-Smith, 11+ pts | <1% | 0¢ | 45.9K | |||
| Hyde-Smith, 13+ pts | <1% | 0¢ | 44.0K | |||
| Hyde-Smith, 15+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | 4.1K | |||
| Hyde-Smith, 17+ pts | <1% | 0¢ | 4.6K | |||
| Hyde-Smith, 19+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | 52.7K | |||
| Hyde-Smith, 21+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | 1.3K | |||
| Hyde-Smith, 23+ pts | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 107.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Mississippi Senate
Search ›- Colom vs. Hyde-Smith: Mississippi Senate Race Update as Key Deadline NearsNov 09, 2026 at 12:45 PM EST Nov 09, 2026 at 12:48 PM EST Mississippi counties must certify and submit their election results by Friday, a key deadline to the still-undecided Senate race between Democrat Scott Colom and Republican…
- Mississippi Senate ballot deadline looms, as Democrat’s lead remains steadyBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Scott Colom's lead…
- Mississippi Senate candidate Scott Colom attacks Cook Political Report accuracySenate candidate Scott Colom (D) in Mississippi lashed out at the Cook Political Report on Monday, criticizing the vaunted election forecaster for underestimating his campaign’s strength against incumbent Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R). In a…
- Razor-tight Mississippi Senate race sparks ballot battle - could there be a recount?The Democrats hold a narrow lead over the Republicans in the US Senate race in Mississippi, with both sides in a dispute over the counting of the remaining votes which could decide the outcome. Lawyers for each campaign are preparing for a…
- Colom says Hyde-Smith 'doesn't have' path to victory in Mississippi Senate raceColom says Hyde-Smith ‘doesn’t have’ path to victory in Mississippi Senate race CNN Colom says Hyde-Smith ‘doesn’t have’ path to victory in Mississippi Senate race The Democratic candidate for Senate in Mississippi, Scott Colom, says…
- Mississippi Senate: Longshot Ty Pinkins says he aimed to spoil Hyde-Smith, boost Colom voteLongshot Mississippi Senate candidate Ty Pinkins at first wanted to win — but says he stayed in to spoil. Pinkins told a local TV station he remained in the race after an April poll showed he had no chance to boost Democratic nominee Scott…
- NAACP President Lays Out Major Concerns As Deadline Nears For Mississippi Senate Race CertificationOn “Forbes Newsroom,” NAACP President Derrick Johnson discussed the still-unresolved Mississippi Senate race in which Democrat Scott Colom is up by about 2500 against Rpublican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith, the NAACP’s efforts to ensure all…
- Colom leads Mississippi Senate race, Hyde-Smith says she is 'not backing down' | Live Updates from Fox News DigitalDemocrat Scott Colom has maintained a razor-thin lead over his Republican opponent, Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith, in the race to become Mississippi's next senator. Should Colom win, he'd become the state's first Black U.S. senator since…
- Mississippi Senate Race Hangs on Thousands of Affidavit Ballots - The Daily SignalHome – Election Integrity – Mississippi Senate Race Hangs on Thousands of Affidavit Ballots Mississippi has significantly more voters who cast affidavit ballots than the number of votes separating the two Senate candidates in the closely…
- What We Need to Know: Mississippi Senate Race Too Close to Call as Violence Mars Another HBCU HomecomingMississippi's closely contested Senate race faces new scrutiny as violence disrupts homecoming celebrations at a historically Black university, raising fresh questions about security and safety Mississippi's Senate race remains razor-thin…
- Colom winning Mississippi Senate race would be ‘indication for what’s to come’ in 2028: GlaudeThe Senate races in Alaska and Mississippi are still too close to call. MS NOW Reporter Maya Eaglin is in Jackson with the latest details. Princeton University Professor and Mississippi native Eddie Glaude joins Alicia Menendez to weigh…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
8%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
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