Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
New Hampshire Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
13.1median
020
Median 13.1Middle half 12.5 – 13.7
How the odds have moved
Median: 7.61 on Oct 20, 13.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pappas, 2+ pts | 99% | ▼ 1 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 28.8K |
| Pappas, 4+ pts | 99% | ▼ 1 | 96¢ | $1.01 | 22.1K | |
| Pappas, 6+ pts | 99% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 36.0K | ||
| Pappas, 7+ pts | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | 7.1K | ||
| Pappas, 8+ pts | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 27.8K | |
| Pappas, 10+ pts | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | 31.8K | ||
| Pappas, 12+ pts | 99% | 98¢ | $1.01 | 6.4K | ||
| Pappas, 14+ pts | 10% | 9¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 5.3K | |
| Pappas, 16+ pts | 2% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 3.3K |
| Pappas, 18+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 4.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Hampshire Senate
Search ›- New Hampshire Senate candidates making final pitches to voters ahead of election dayOctober 29, 2026 / 6:20 PM EDT / CBS Boston With a few days until the midterm elections, candidates battling for a Senate seat in New Hampshire are making their final pitches to voters. Democratic Congressman Chris Pappas and former…
- Independents Put New Hampshire Senate Fight on a Knife EdgeNew Hampshire’s Senate contest has tightened into a race where registered independents may decide the outcome. With no party dominating the state’s political center, both campaigns are pressing hard to win over voters who are not locked…
- Pappas Solidly Ahead in New Hampshire Senate RaceA new UMass Lowell/YouGov poll in New Hampshire finds Chris Pappas (D) leading John E. Sununu (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 48% to 41%, with Edmond LaPlante (CONS) at 4%. New Hampshire Senate Race Chris Pappas (D) 48% John E. Sununu (R) 41%…
- Sununu, Pappas Clash in Final Debate of New Hampshire Senate RaceThey each addressed their party’s politics and how their stances often differ from the national messaging. What would you like to watch today? Sununu, Pappas Clash in Final Debate of New Hampshire Senate Race NTD Good Morning Full…
- Full Video: Chris Pappas and John Sununu Debate in New Hampshire Senate Race (Oct. 28)Democrat Chris Pappas and Republican John Sununu met Wednesday night for the final major televised debate of New Hampshire’s closely watched U.S. Senate race. The debate aired on WMUR as part of the station’s Granite State Debates series…
- Pappas, Sununu Sound Off in Testy New Hampshire Senate ClashRepresentative Chris Pappas and former Senator John E. Sununu used their New Hampshire Senate debate to cast themselves as lawmakers who would not simply fall in line with party leaders. Both men emphasized that they were willing to break…
- Sununu distances from Trump in New Hampshire Senate race against PappasEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
- In New Hampshire's Senate race, a closer look at who is picking up the tabElon Musk’s super PAC has funneled more than $1 million into New Hampshire’s Senate race over the past two months, making the world’s richest man one of the most visible players in one of the most expensive contests of the midterms…
- Chris Pappas seeks New Hampshire Senate seat on affordability and healthcare platformA member of the Democratic Party, Chris Pappas is running for the US Senate in New Hampshire in the 2026 midterm elections. He will be competing against Republican candidate John Sununu, a former US senator, and Constitution Party…
- The final countdown: From the Politics DeskWelcome to From the Politics Desk, a daily newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team’s latest reporting and analysis from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign trail. In today’s edition, we have the latest midterm…
- Independent voters hold the key in New Hampshire's high-stakes Senate raceNew Hampshire's Senate race could determine which party controls the chamber. Republican John Sununu and Democrat Chris Pappas are battling for independents as cost-of-living anger reshapes the contest. NBC News' Julie Tsirkin reports…
- Michigan Senate race between El Sayed, Rogers remains a toss-up as candidates make final pushThe Michigan Senate race remains a toss-up between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers. Meanwhile, the New Hampshire Senate race heated up between candidates Chris Pappas and John Sununu during a Wednesday night debate. CBS…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions