New Mexico Governor margin of victory

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $8.5K traded · $5K at stake · prices read 8 min ago

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The odds

14.4median
-228
Median 14.4Middle half 13.6 – 15.3

How the odds have moved

Median: 11.8 on Oct 20, 14.4 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Haaland, 1+ pts 97% 0¢ 99¢ $1.01 237
Haaland, 4+ pts 97% 56¢ 99¢ $1.01 78.00
Haaland, 7+ pts 97% 56¢ 100¢ 1.2K
Haaland, 10+ pts 97% 70¢ 100¢ 6.5K
Haaland, 13+ pts 91% $1.10 720
Haaland, 16+ pts 6% 89¢ $1.12 1.2K
Haaland, 19+ pts 2% 29¢ $3.45 2.3K
Haaland, 22+ pts 2% 43¢ $2.33 503
Haaland, 25+ pts 2% 43¢ $2.33 568

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: New Mexico Governor

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  • Where The Candidates for New Mexico Governor Stand on Oil and Gas@capitalandmain · 11 days agoHaaland and Hull never debated face to face, but when it comes to oilfield enforcement and climate goals, there are clear differences. Starting in September, Capital & Main asked Democratic New Mexico gubernatorial candidate Deb Haaland…
  • El Rito Media Endorses Gregg Hull for New Mexico GovernorArtesia Daily Press · 13 days agoWith New Mexico facing severe challenges in crime, education, poverty, economic freedom and healthcare, El Rito Media compares gubernatorial candidates Deb Haaland and Gregg Hull. The editorial criticizes Haaland’s progressive policies and…
  • How your college career may be defined by 2026 midterm electionNMSU Round Up · 7 days agoMidterm elections are coming up on Nov. 3, and some of the ballot questions are going to affect the future education of college students statewide. The elections aren’t just about major government roles like state governors, senators, and…
  • Election Day 2026: Full List of Santa Fe County Polling Locations and Voting HoursInternational Business Times · 9 days agoSanta Fe County voters can cast ballots at any designated polling location across the county on Tuesday, Nov. 3, when polls open at 7 a.m. and close at 7 p.m. for the 2026 General Election. The ballot will include federal, statewide…
  • Decision 2026: Constitutional Amendment 1 could change how bills become law in New MexicoKOB 4 · 11 days agoALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — We are just five days away from Decision 2026. A lot is at stake in New Mexico: your vote for governor, U.S. representatives, U.S. senators and more. The impact of those decisions is obvious. But it’s also important to…
  • ‘The people say stop’: New Mexico students walk out to protest data centersSanta Fe New Mexican · 13 days agoKay Maestas, center, joins more than 100 protesters, mostly students from the New Mexico School for the Arts, in chanting outside the New Mexico State Capitol following a walkout to protest Project Jupiter, data centers and artificial…
  • Blanche defends DOJ Alaska election lawsuitMS NOW · 14 days agoThe Department of Justice filed a lawsuit preemptively challenging the certification of Alaska's Senate race if Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan doesn't win. Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel joins Peter to discuss the lawsuit and its…
  • The 2028 crop hits New MexicoPOLITICO · 16 days agoThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. 10/24/2026 10:36 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun and Irie Sentner Good Saturday morning. This is Ali Bianco in the driver’s seat. Only 10 days left until the…
  • The 2028 crop hits New Mexico for inaugural ‘Matanza’ rallyPOLITICO · 16 days agoThe “Fourth in the Nation Matanza Rally” is testing the appetite for a more Latino-specific cultural touchstone to round out the presidential candidate event rotation. 10/24/2026 11:19 AM EDT Prospective presidential candidates are known…
  • In New Mexico governor’s race, Deb Haaland’s historic bid tests Democrats’ political holdTwin Cities · 18 days agoBy SUSAN MONTOYA BRYAN and SAVANNAH PETERS But first she has to convince New Mexicans that they should keep Democrats in charge. The state persistently ranks near the bottom nationally on poverty, crime and public education, and…
  • Hull Calls for Limits on Governor AuthorityAlamogordo News · 17 days agoRepublican gubernatorial nominee Gregg Hull supports limits on New Mexico governors' emergency powers, including time caps and legislative oversight. Hull Calls for Limits on Governor Authority Gregg Hull said he would support legislation…
  • New Mexico 2026 Election ResultsMultiState Elections · 18 days ago2026 results › New Mexico General election, November 3, 2026 Results will appear on this page on election night, November 3, 2026, as votes are counted. The last polls in New Mexico close at 9 PM ET. Follow every state live → On the New…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions