Predictions › Elections odds Every Around the world market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
7,691 open markets · $13.9M traded today Trending around the world markets
Marine Le Pen 45% David Lisnard 14% ▼ 1 Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% Édouard Philippe 9% ▲ 1 42 more Christine Lagarde 6% ▼ 1 Teddy Riner 3% Raphaël Glucksmann 2% Jordan Bardella 2% Dominique de Villepin 2% François Hollande 2% Bruno Retailleau 1% ▲ 1 Gabriel Attal <1% Éric Zemmour <1% Sébastien Lecornu <1% François Baroin <1% Xavier Bertrand <1% Laurent Wauquiez <1% François Ruffin <1% Marine Tondelier <1% Fabien Roussel <1% Olivier Faure <1% Ségolène Royal <1% François Asselineau <1% Clémentine Autain <1% Nicolas Dupont-Aignan <1% Michel Barnier <1% Valérie Pécresse <1% François Bayrou <1% Élisabeth Borne <1% Yaël Braun-Pivet <1% Jean Castex <1% Gérald Darmanin <1% Carole Delga <1% Bernard Cazeneuve <1% Manuel Bompard <1% Mathilde Panot <1% Sarah Knafo <1% Juan Branco <1% Clémence Guetté <1% Karim Bouamrane <1% Lucie Castets <1% Yannick Jadot <1% Marion Maréchal <1% Natacha Polony <1% Anasse Kazib <1% Sylvain Durif <1%
Gadi Eizenkot 63% ▼ 1 Benjamin Netanyahu 25% ▲ 4 Avigdor Lieberman 6% ▼ 2 Naftali Bennett 3% 18 more Yossi Cohen <1% Gideon Sa’ar <1% Israel Katz <1% Aviv Kohavi <1% Eli Cohen <1% Yair Lapid <1% Benny Gantz <1% Yair Golan <1% Itamar Ben Gvir <1% Yariv Levin <1% Moshe Feiglin <1% Ayelet Shaked <1% Yoaz Hendel <1% Nir Barkat <1% Amir Ohana <1% Gilad Erdan <1% Ofer Winter <1% Daniel Hagari <1%
National Party 98% Labour Party 2% Green Party <1% ACT New Zealand <1% 2 more New Zealand First Party <1% Te Pāti Māori <1%
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems 60% ▼ 5 Lula, Netanyahu, Dems 20% ▲ 6 Lula, Bennett, Dems 1% ▲ 1 Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps <1% ▼ 11 8 more Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps <1% ▼ 11 Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems <1% ▼ 12 Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems <1% ▼ 41 Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems <1% ▼ 3 Bolsonaro, Bennett, Reps <1% Lula, Eizenkot, Reps <1% ▼ 5 Lula, Netanyahu, Reps <1% ▼ 5 Lula, Bennett, Reps <1% ▼ 7
Luca Niculescu >99% ▲ 5 Mugur Isărescu <1% Mircea Geoană <1% Anca Dragu <1% 34 more Lucian Isar <1% Cătălin Predoiu <1% Sorin Grindeanu <1% George Simion <1% Ilie Bolojan <1% Marcel Ciolacu <1% Alexandru Rafila <1% Sebastian Burduja <1% Ionuț Dumitru <1% Elena Lasconi <1% Cătălin Drulă <1% Vasile Dîncu <1% Dacian Cioloș <1% Emil Boc <1% Dominic Fritz <1% Raluca Turcan <1% Lucian Croitoru <1% Delia Velculescu <1% Nicolae Ciucă <1% Hunor Kelemen <1% Calin Georgescu <1% Radu Burnete <1% Șerban Matei <1% Alexandru Nazare <1% Alexandru Rogobete <1% Dragoș Pîslaru <1% Traian Basescu <1% Dan Motreanu <1% Victor Ponta <1% Ciprian Ciucu <1% Eugen Tomac <1% Siegfried Mureșan <1% Adrian Veștea <1% Leonardo Badea <1%
Ulf Kristersson 66% ▲ 10 Magdalena Andersson 32% ▼ 7 Ebba Busch 1% Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist <1% 6 more Jimmie Åkesson <1% Anna-Karin Hatt <1% Nooshi Dadgostar <1% Simona Mohamsson <1% Amanda Lind <1% Daniel Helldén <1%
November 30, 2026 99% December 31, 2026 >99% March 31, 2027 >99%
Chiang Wan-an 67% ▲ 1 Puma Shen 33% ▼ 1 Kuo Hsi <1%
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 92% Pedro Sánchez 7% Santiago Abascal 1% Isabel Díaz Ayuso <1% 12 more María Jesús Montero <1% Yolanda Díaz <1% Ernest Urtasun <1% Aitor Esteban <1% Miguel Tellado <1% Ester Muñoz <1% Pepa Millán <1% Cuca Gamarra <1% Borja Sémper <1% Carles Puigdemont <1% Carlos Cuerpo <1% Óscar Puente <1%
Gadi Eizenkot 55% ▼ 2 Benjamin Netanyahu 8% ▼ 3 Avigdor Lieberman 5% Naftali Bennett 1% 14 more Yair Lapid 1% Benny Gantz 1% Yariv Levin 1% Yair Golan 1% Itamar Ben Gvir 1% Yossi Cohen 1% Israel Katz 1% Gideon Sa'ar 1% Ayelet Shaked 1% Amir Ohana 1% Moshe Feiglin 1% Yoaz Hendel 1% Nir Barkat 1% Yuli Edelstein 1%
National 90% ▼ 1 Labour 9% ▲ 4 Opportunity <1% Green <1% 3 more NZ First <1% Te Pāti Māori <1% ACT <1%
Nicolás Maduro 92% ▼ 1 Delcy Rodríguez 8% ▼ 1 María Corina Machado 1% Marco Rubio 1% ▼ 1 14 more Donald Trump 1% Jorge Rodríguez 1% Vladimir Padrino López 1% Edmundo González 1% Diosdado Cabello Rondón 1% Pete Hegseth 1% ▼ 1 Dinorah Figuera 1% Miguel Rodríguez Torres <1% Richard Grenell <1% Juan Guaidó <1% Evan Pettus <1% Frank Donovan <1% Dan Caine <1% Stephen Miller <1%
Independent/Technocrat >99% ▲ 3 PSD <1% ▼ 1 PNL <1% ▼ 1 AUR <1% ▼ 1 2 more
Utah >99% ▲ 1 Texas 99% ▲ 1 Louisiana 99% California 98% ▲ 2 18 more Florida 98% North Carolina 97% Ohio 97% ▲ 1 Alabama 11% ▲ 1 Washington 2% ▼ 1 Nebraska 2% ▼ 1 Virginia 2% ▼ 2 Kansas 1% ▼ 1 Illinois 1% ▼ 7 Wisconsin 1% South Carolina 1% ▼ 2 New Jersey 1% ▼ 4 Indiana 1% ▼ 2 Minnesota 1% ▼ 2 New York 1% ▼ 2 Georgia <1% ▼ 3 Maryland <1% ▼ 3 Missouri <1% ▼ 2
Ilija Srdanović 10% ▼ 1 Aleksandar Vučić 2% Vladan Đokić 2% Ana Brnabić <1% 6 more Dragan Đilas <1% Ivica Dačić <1% Miloš Vučević <1% Stefan Krkobabić <1% Đuro Macut <1% Branimir Jovanović <1%
Javier Milei 44% Axel Kicillof 33% Sergio Massa 15% ▼ 1 Patricia Bullrich 4% 17 more Cristina Fernández de Kirchner 2% Myriam Bregman 1% Daniel Hadad 1% Lionel Messi 1% Mauricio Macri <1% Dante Gebel <1% Karina Milei <1% Juan Schiaretti <1% Juan Grabois <1% Esteban Bullrich <1% Facundo Manes <1% Victoria Villarruel <1% Nicolás del Caño <1% Alberto Fernández <1% Guillermo Moreno <1% Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro <1% Máximo Kirchner <1%
Christopher Luxon 89% ▼ 1 Chris Hipkins 9% ▼ 1 Winston Peters <1% Nicola Willis <1% 3 more Chlöe Swarbrick <1% David Seymour <1% Carmel Sepuloni <1%
Rafael López Aliaga 12% ▲ 8 Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 2% ▲ 1 Francis James Allison Oyague 1% ▼ 1 Samuel Marcos Daza Taype <1% 19 more Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli <1% Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera <1% Santiago Rosendo Abarca León <1% Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo <1% Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino <1% Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra <1% Sandro Caller Gutiérrez <1% Jessica Viviana Linares Romero <1% Rubén José Ramírez Mateo <1% Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay <1% Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés <1% Flor de María Hurtado Valdez <1% Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar <1% Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza <1% Segundo Valdez Zavala <1% Samir Frank Quispe Caballero <1% Yehude Simón Munaro <1% Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué <1% Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega <1%
Marine Le Pen 49% ▲ 3 Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% David Lisnard 12% ▼ 2 Édouard Philippe 7% ▼ 1 26 more Christine Lagarde 5% Raphaël Glucksmann 4% François Hollande 2% Jordan Bardella 2% Gabriel Attal 1% Bruno Retailleau 1% Éric Zemmour 1% Dominique de Villepin 1% Sarah Knafo <1% François Bayrou <1% Manuel Bompard <1% Laurent Wauquiez <1% Yaël Braun-Pivet <1% Jean Castex <1% Michel Barnier <1% Xavier Bertrand <1% Valérie Pécresse <1% Olivier Faure <1% Mathilde Panot <1% Sébastien Lecornu <1% Élisabeth Borne <1% Gérald Darmanin <1% Bruno Le Maire <1% Bernard Cazeneuve <1% Carole Delga <1% François Ruffin <1%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 96% Nathalie Arthaud 94% ▲ 1 Marine Le Pen 91% ▲ 2 Raphaël Glucksmann 84% ▲ 3 42 more Fabien Roussel 84% ▼ 1 David Lisnard 82% Éric Zemmour 71% ▲ 1 Édouard Philippe 68% ▲ 1 Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 62% ▼ 2 Dominique de Villepin 35% ▼ 4 Bruno Retailleau 28% ▼ 4 Marine Tondelier 26% ▲ 3 François Hollande 25% ▼ 1 Teddy Riner 25% ▲ 19 François Asselineau 22% ▲ 5 Gabriel Attal 20% ▼ 1 Sarah Knafo 14% ▼ 1 François Ruffin 14% Xavier Bertrand 11% Jordan Bardella 8% Matthieu Pigasse 6% Michel Barnier 6% Jean-Michel Fauvergue 6% Bally Bagayoko 5% Sébastien Lecornu 5% Michel-Edouard Leclerc 5% ▼ 1 Yaël Braun-Pivet 5% Philippe de Villiers 5% François Bayrou 5% ▼ 1 Olivier Faure 4% ▼ 1 Carole Delga 4% ▼ 1 Manuel Valls 4% Élisabeth Borne 4% Manuel Bompard 4% ▼ 1 Mathilde Panot 4% ▼ 1 Jean Castex 4% ▼ 1 Gérald Darmanin 4% Bernard Cazeneuve 4% Karim Bouamrane 4% ▼ 1 Delphine Batho 3% ▼ 1 Laurent Wauquiez 3% Jérôme Guedj 3% ▼ 1 Juan Branco 3% ▼ 2 Ségolène Royal 3% Valérie Pécresse 3% ▼ 1 Clémentine Autain 2%
M + KD + L + C 61% ▲ 15 S + MP + C 13% ▼ 1 S + MP 6% M + KD + L + SD 6% ▼ 3 17 more S + MP + C + V 5% ▼ 1 M + KD + L 5% ▼ 10 S + MP + V 3% ▼ 2 Other 2% S 2% ▼ 2 M + KD 1% M 1% S + M 1% M + KD + SD 1% S + MP + C + KD <1% S + C + V <1% S + MP + C + L <1% M + SD <1% S + C <1% S + V <1% S + MP + L <1% S + C + L <1%
National + ACT + NZF 85% ▲ 11 Labour + Green 8% ▼ 9 Labour + Green + Maori 3% ▼ 1 Other 2% ▲ 1 14 more National + ACT 2% Labour + Green + NZF 1% Labour + Green + Maori + NZF <1% National + ACT + NZF + Maori <1% Labour <1% Labour + Maori <1% Labour + NZF <1% Labour + Maori + NZF <1% National <1% National + NZF <1% National + Maori <1% National + ACT + Maori <1% National + NZF + Maori <1% National + Labour <1%
Centre Party (C) 82% ▲ 9 Moderate Party (M) 67% ▲ 14 Christian Democrats (KD) 67% ▲ 18 Liberals (L) 65% ▲ 20 5 more Green Party (MP) 35% ▼ 10 Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 32% ▼ 11 Sweden Democrats (SD) 8% ▼ 6 Left Party (V) 8% ▼ 12 Citizens' Coalition (MED) 1% Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use . How to use Predictions