New Mexico Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $10 today · $19.5K traded · $17.4K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

26.0median
733
Median 26.0Middle half 25.4 – 26.6

How the odds have moved

Median: 20.2 on Oct 20, 26.0 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Luján, 9+ pts 99% 99¢ 3.7K
Luján, 11+ pts 99% 98¢ 6.5K
Luján, 13+ pts 99% 97¢ 99¢ $1.01 3.0K
Luján, 15+ pts 99% 99¢ 444
Luján, 17+ pts 99% 99¢ 605
Luján, 19+ pts 99% 99¢ 769
Luján, 21+ pts 99% 98¢ 4.0K
Luján, 23+ pts 94% $1.06 120
Luján, 25+ pts 94% $1.06 681
Luján, 27+ pts 5% $19.61 125
Luján, 29+ pts 3% $37.04 33.00
Luján, 31+ pts 1% 2¢ $50.00 1.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: New Mexico Senate

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  • New Mexico state treasurer candidate questionnairesThe Taos News · 18 days agoCity or area of primary residence: Cedar Crest Educational background: Bachelor of Arts in physics and political science, Clemson University; Master of Science in mechanical engineering and Master of Science in technology and policy…
  • Brandt named vice chair of National Energy Security Advisory Boardrrobserver · 24 days agoDestinction result of Brandt's efforts to advocate during Israel conflicts, according to release RIO RANCHO — New Mexico District 40 Sen. Craig Brandt (R) was announced Council for a Secure America’s newly established State Legislative…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions