Nevada Governor margin of victory

Kalshi Elections › Governors Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $65.6K traded · $45.6K at stake · prices read 25 min ago

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The odds

8.48median
-213
Median 8.48Middle half 7.66 – 9.31

How the odds have moved

Median: 1 on Oct 20, 8.48 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Ford, 1+ pts 99% 98¢ 24.8K
Ford, 4+ pts 99% 99¢ 100¢ 31.5K
Ford, 7+ pts 95% ▼ 2 91¢ 99¢ $1.01 10.2K
Ford, 10+ pts 4% 22¢ $4.55 1.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Nevada Governor

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  • Nevada Governor Election Live Results 2026AP News · 5 days agoAP News AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell you…
  • Democrat Aaron Ford wins 2026 Nevada governor's race, defeating incumbent Gov. Joe LombardoCBS News · 4 days agoNovember 5, 2026 / 1:54 PM EST / CBS News Democrat Aaron Ford won the Nevada governor's race, CBS News projects, defeating incumbent Gov. Joe Lombardo as the state struggled because of tariffs and a decline in tourism. Ford, who has been…
  • Election 2026 Nevada GovernorIdaho State Journal · 5 days agoIdaho State Journal ‘Gun That Won the West’ is Idahoans’ top state gun pick Final results for East Idaho's contested legislative races Republicans sweep District 30 legislative races in Bingham, Butte counties Idaho amendment giving…
  • One-on-one with Nevada Governor-elect Aaron Ford: Affordability, data centers and moreKSNV · 4 days agoLAS VEGAS (KSNV) — Nevada Governor-elect Aaron Ford sat down for an exclusive one-on-one interview with News 3 on Thursday. The Democratic candidate spoke with Latoya Silmon just two days after making history by becoming the state's first…
  • FULL: Nevada Governor-elect Aaron Ford speaks to supporters after win in 2026 General Election@fox5vegas · 5 days agoFOX5 Vegas FULL: Nevada Governor-elect Aaron Ford speaks to supporters after win in 2026 General Election Nevada voters approve Question 7, requiring voter ID Governor-elect Aaron Ford addresses Nevadans after historic win over Lombardo…
  • Aaron Ford speaks after winning Nevada governor's race2 News Nevada · 5 days agoGovernor-elect Aaron Ford addressed the state on Wednesday evening after winning Nevada's governor's race. In his remarks Ford thanked Nevadans for choosing him for the role. He also touched on his vision to expand opportunity for…
  • WATCH LIVE: Aaron Ford speaks after winning Nevada governor's race2 News Nevada · 5 days agoAttorney General Aaron Ford is addressing the state after winning Nevada's governor's race. The governor-elect's remarks can be seen live on 2 News Nevada, as well as at the embed below. Following the victory, Ford's campaign highlighted…
  • Joe Lombardo concedes Nevada Governor’s race to Aaron Ford@fox5vegas · 6 days agoFOX5 Vegas Joe Lombardo concedes Nevada Governor’s race to Aaron Ford A’s officially name Cam Castro as general manager ahead of 2028 Las Vegas move Democrat Aaron Ford defeats Joe Lombardo, becoming Nevada’s first Black governor One…
  • Aaron Ford to speak after winning Nevada governor's race2 News Nevada · 5 days agoAttorney General Aaron Ford will address the state after winning Nevada's governor's race. The governor-elect is set to speak starting at 6 p.m., and 2 News Nevada will carry his remarks live on air and on our website. Following the…
  • Aaron Ford wins Nevada governor's race as Lombardo calls for unity2 News Nevada · 5 days agoAttorney General Aaron Ford has won Nevada's governor's race, setting the stage for a change in leadership and a new administration. Following the victory, Ford's campaign highlighted its message of affordability and opportunities for…
  • Las Vegas voters react as Nevada governor's mansion flips from red to blueChannel 13 Las Vegas News KTNV · 5 days agoLAS VEGAS (KTNV) — The Nevada governor’s mansion is flipping from red to blue, as Democrat Attorney General Aaron Ford got enough votes to beat incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo. Lombardo confirmed in a statement that he called Ford…
  • Nevada Governor Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 7 days agoGOP Gov. Joe Lombardo is seeking a second term as governor, four years after he was the nation’s lone GOP candidate to topple a Democratic gubernatorial incumbent. He’s running against Democrat ... Sullivan voted today in Anchorage…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions