New York Governor margin of victory

Kalshi Elections › Governors Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $105K traded · $61.9K at stake · prices read 34 min ago

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The odds

20.3median
131
Median 20.3Middle half 19.2 – 21.3

How the odds have moved

Median: 13.8 on Oct 20, 20.3 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Hochul, 4+ pts 100% 99¢ 17.8K
Hochul, 7+ pts 99% 99¢ 100¢ 21.5K
Hochul, 10+ pts 99% 98¢ 100¢ 33.8K
Hochul, 13+ pts 99% 56¢ 99¢ $1.01 17.2K
Hochul, 16+ pts 99% 60¢ $1.02 10.0K
Hochul, 19+ pts 80% 21¢ 99¢ $1.01 7.2K
Hochul, 22+ pts 9% 0¢ 28¢ $3.57 1.4K
Hochul, 25+ pts 9% ▼ 1 0¢ 17¢ $5.88 1.4K
Hochul, 28+ pts 9% 15¢ $6.67 1.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: New York Governor

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  • New York Governor resultsAP News · 4 days agoLive results for the 2026 New York Governor general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. New York Governor results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results…
  • Voters decide: New York governor's race and midterm elections | Team coverageCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change Voters decide: New York governor's race and midterm elections | Team coverage Balance of power at stake in midterm elections…
  • Voters decide: New York governor's race seizes Election Day spotlight | Team coverageCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change Voters decide: New York governor's race seizes Election Day spotlight | Team coverage Powerball jackpot reaches $835 million…
  • Kathy Hochul reelected as New York governor, CBS News projectsCBS News · 6 days agoUpdated on: November 3, 2026 / 9:52 PM EST / CBS New York Kathy Hochul has been reelected as governor of New York during the 2026 midterms, defeating Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman, CBS News projected Tuesday night. A Democrat has…
  • Race for New York governor comes down to the wireCBS News · 7 days agoCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change Race for New York governor comes down to the wire First Alert Weather: 2 more days of sun and then some rain Very special gift…
  • New York governor election live updates for the 2026 race between Kathy Hochul and Bruce BlakemanCBS News · 6 days agoUpdated on: November 3, 2026 / 2:45 PM EST / CBS New York The New York State Board of Elections put out a statement explaining the issue impacting voting machines in Westchester County. "The immediate priority is to restore scanning…
  • Kathy Hochul and Bruce Blakeman remain locked in competitive race for New York governorCBS News · 7 days agoUpdated on: November 3, 2026 / 6:34 AM EST / CBS New York A Democratic governor has occupied New York's Executive Mansion in Albany for nearly two decades. Republican Bruce Blakeman is looking to change that, but polls suggest he still has…
  • New York GovernorNew York Focus · 6 days agoElection Results 2026 New York Focus Polls close at 9 p.m. ET on Nov. 3 Governor Kathy Hochul, a Democrat, is running for reelection against Republican Bruce Blakeman. Hochul is also on the Working Families line, and Blakeman on the…
  • Hochul wins another term as New York governor@wcax · 6 days agoWCAX Hochul wins another term as New York governor Scott defeats Janoo, reelected to record sixth term Goodlander wins over Tang Williams for N.H. 2nd Congressional district Ayotte, Warmington face off in N.H. governor race
  • Hochul, Blakeman make final campaign push in New York governor's raceCBS News · 7 days agoNovember 2, 2026 / 12:39 PM EST / CBS New York New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman are making their last pleas to voters Monday, just ahead of the midterm elections. The two are going where the voters are as…
  • Hochul Wins Reelection as New York GovernorCOLlive · 6 days agoGov. Kathy Hochul secured another four-year term in Tuesday’s election, as Attorney General Letitia James and several Brooklyn congressional representatives also won reelection. Full Story Hochul, who became governor in 2021, secured…
  • New York Governor Kathy Hochul Wins Reelection Against Republican Bruce BlakemanThe Gateway Pundit · 6 days agoIncumbent Democratic New York Governor Kathy Hochul has won her reelection bid against Republican Bruce Blakeman. Blakeman, the Trump-Endorsed Republican nominee for governor, trailed Hochul in the deep-blue state by more than 55 points…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions