Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Ohio Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
5.43median
011
Median 5.43Middle half 5.12 – 5.74
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.79 on Oct 20, 5.43 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brown, 1+ pts | 99% | 98¢ | 100¢ | 101.2K | ||
| Brown, 2+ pts | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | 87.4K | ||
| Brown, 3+ pts | 98% | 97¢ | 100¢ | 88.7K | ||
| Brown, 4+ pts | 96% | ▼ 1 | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.02 | 105.4K |
| Brown, 5+ pts | 85% | ▼ 4 | 70¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 36.2K |
| Brown, 6+ pts | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.95 | 62.2K | |
| Brown, 7+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $38.46 | 28.1K | |
| Brown, 8+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $52.63 | 26.0K | |
| Brown, 9+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $52.63 | 16.0K | |
| Brown, 10+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $35.71 | 31.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ohio Senate
Search ›- Husted addresses supporters after Ohio Senate lossSen. Jon Husted spoke to supporters in Columbus after Fox News Decision Desk projected he lost a tight race to Democratic challenger Sherrod Brown. Husted addresses supporters after Ohio Senate loss Sen. Jon Husted spoke to supporters in…
- Sherrod Brown Wins Ohio Senate Race Two Years After DefeatOssoff won Georgia reelection Nov. 3 over Trump-backed Collins, per NBC and DDHQ, holding a seat Democrats need after raising $126 million more. Final polls point to a Democratic surge ahead of the 2026 midterms, with the party leading in…
- Brown wins Ohio Senate seat, calls on Democrats to focus on war, tariffs and costsOhio Democrat Sherrod Brown is returning to the U.S. Senate after defeating Republican Jon Husted in Ohio's closely watched Senate race. Brown will complete the remainder of the term previously won by Vice President JD Vance in 2022. The…
- Maine, South Carolina and Ohio Senate candidates face Election Day testFox News Maine, South Carolina and Ohio Senate candidates face Election Day test Fox News' Bryan Llenas, Steve Harrigan and Alexandria Hoff deliver live updates on key Senate races from Maine, South Carolina and Ohio as polls open on…
- Democrat Sherrod Brown wins Ohio Senate raceMidterms coverage: Live results | What to know | Stories around the countryStay connected: NPR Politics Podcast | NPR Politics newsletter | NPR app Brown is the seventh former U.S. senator since 1946 to lose his seat and then return to the…
- Sherrod Brown kicks Jon Husted’s ‘great a–‘ in Ohio Senate raceSherrod Brown is returning to the Senate after a two-year absence, notching a revenge win in Ohio and handing the Democrats another seat in the upper chamber.Brown, who represented Ohio for 18 years, lost by four points in 2024. But…
- Democrat Sherrod Brown wins Ohio Senate race in major blow to RepublicansBrown makes successful return to US Senate after voters reject Republican incumbent Jon Husted US midterm elections – live updates Track live results from all 50 states Democrat Sherrod Brown will return to the US Senate, as Ohio’s voters…
- Sherrod Brown defeats Sen. Jon Husted in Ohio Senate special electionFOX 17 West Michigan News Sherrod Brown defeats Sen. Jon Husted in Ohio Senate special election
- The Post Election Day live coverage: Ohio SenateThe Post The Post Election Day live coverage: Ohio Senate
- Sherrod Brown wins Ohio Senate seatDemocratic candidate Sherrod Brown won the Ohio Senate seat in a special election to fill Vice President JD Vance’s seat, defeating incumbent Republican Sen. Jon Husted. The victory marks Brown’s return to the Senate after losing his…
- Kalshi Projects Sherrod Brown Wins Ohio Senate RaceThe Democrat overtook Husted on Kalshi in August and climbed above 70% in the final days. Kalshi projects Sherrod Brown (D) will win the 2026 Ohio Senate race, defeating Jon Husted (R). Traders on Kalshi priced Brown's chances at 99%, up…
- Sherrod Brown Regains an Ohio Senate Seat in Crucial Win for DemocratsMr. Brown, 73, will return to Washington two years after he was defeated by Senator Bernie Moreno of Ohio. His comeback reflects just how much the political environment has changed since the Republican Party swept into power in 2024. It is…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions