Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Oklahoma Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
18.0median
1539
Median 18.0Middle half 17.5 – 18.5
How the odds have moved
Median: 24.5 on Oct 19, 18.0 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hern, 17+ pts | 99% | 9¢ | $1.02 | 1.1K | ||
| Hern, 19+ pts | 1% | 89¢ | $1.12 | 980 | ||
| Hern, 21+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $52.63 | 22.1K | ||
| Hern, 23+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $52.63 | 16.3K | ||
| Hern, 25+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 24.3K | ||
| Hern, 27+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 31.3K | ||
| Hern, 29+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 17.6K | ||
| Hern, 31+ pts | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 29.5K | ||
| Hern, 33+ pts | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 18.5K | ||
| Hern, 35+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $52.63 | 7.6K | ||
| Hern, 37+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 3.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Oklahoma Senate
Search ›- Winner of Oklahoma senate race can be seated immediately after election.The Greatest News Site On The Internet. Home of CFP Nation. Winner of Oklahoma senate race can be seated immediately after election. Posted by Kane on October 30, 2026 11:11 am
- Oklahoma 2026 election resultsCNN Oklahoma 2026 election results Live results: Oklahoma Senate Follow live results in the Oklahoma Senate race, county by county, as votes are counted on election night. Senate results by county Live results: Oklahoma Governor Follow…
- Oklahoma Senate Nominee N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas Calls Netanyahu a “White Supremacist” Who Is “Not Even Utilizing Judaism”Oklahoma’s Democratic Senate candidate N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas told progressive political streamer Hasan Piker on a Twitch stream that it is wrong to equate Zionism with Judaism. Thomas, 31, is running against Republican U.S. Rep. Kevin…
- Oklahoma AG says Senate seat will be filled by election winner after results are certifiedIn September, news broke that Gov. Kevin Stitt's appointed Senator, Alan Armstrong, and the GOP hopeful to replace him, Congressman Kevin Hern, couldn't agree on who would hold the office for the two months immediately following the…
- Oklahoma Democrat Raises $32,000 in One Hasan Piker Stream: “Y’all Really Showed Out”Viewers watching Twitch streamer Hasan Piker donated $32,000 in 45 minutes on Thursday to support N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas, a Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate in Oklahoma, an amount more than her campaign could boast having in its…
- Where Oklahoma’s governor candidates stand on higher educationMike Mazzei and Cyndi Munson will compete for governor of Oklahoma in the Nov. 3 election. With the election for Oklahoma’s new governor approaching, Oklahomans are wondering how the gubernatorial candidates plan to improve education in…
- US Muslim candidates face attacks as Democrats lead pollsIsrael election deadlock could shield Netanyahu from 7 Oct probe US Muslim candidates face attacks as Democrats lead polls US warns allies on possible Iran strikes after elections Pathways to power: What happens next after Israel's…
- Open seats in Oklahoma Senate could reshape the Capitol in 2027The Oklahoma Legislature's upper chamber will see several fresh faces in 2027 after a busy election cycle. Many state senators were either defeated in their primary bids for reelection, opted not to run for another term or are terming out…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions