Oregon Governor margin of victory

Kalshi Elections › Governors Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $329 today · $48.3K traded · $21.4K at stake · prices read 18 min ago

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The odds

9.44median
-129
Median 9.44Middle half 8.59 – 10.3

How the odds have moved

Median: 4.66 on Oct 20, 9.44 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Kotek, 2+ pts 92% ▼ 8 88¢ 99¢ $1.01 12.9K
Kotek, 5+ pts 92% 89¢ 99¢ $1.01 17.4K
Kotek, 8+ pts 92% 92¢ 98¢ $1.02 21.2K
Kotek, 11+ pts 4% 4¢ 34¢ $2.94 8.0K
Kotek, 14+ pts 2% 1¢ 37¢ $2.70 9.5K
Kotek, 17+ pts 2% 0¢ 37¢ $2.70 674
Kotek, 20+ pts 2% 25¢ $4.00 578
Kotek, 23+ pts 2% 25¢ $4.00 603
Kotek, 26+ pts 2% 29¢ $3.45 3.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oregon Governor

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  • Oregon Governor resultsAP News · 4 days agoLive results for the 2026 Oregon Governor general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178…
  • Drazan concedes Oregon governor's race to KotekCentral Oregon Daily · 3 days agoCentral Oregon Daily Christine Drazan conceded Oregon's gubernatorial election Friday after updated vote totals showed Gov. Tina Kotek holding a substantial lead. Drazan said the remaining ballots will not change the outcome and wished…
  • Drazan concedes, Kotek outlines priorities for second term as Oregon governor@fox12oregon · 3 days agoKPTV Drazan concedes, Kotek outlines priorities for second term as Oregon governor Man hit by two cars while walking across SE Vancouver street School security officer accused of giving students vapes and threatening them in Cowlitz Co…
  • Drazan concedes Oregon governor's race, says remaining ballots won't change outcomeKVAL · 3 days agoKVAL Senator Christine Drazan (R-Canby) released the following statement Friday regarding the outcome of Oregon's gubernatorial election: I reached out to Governor Kotek to wish her well I sincerely hope she recognizes that the challenges…
  • Gov. Kotek speaks with reporters after her reelection as Oregon governorKATU · 3 days agoPORTLAND, Ore. (KATU) — Oregon Governor Tina Kotek says she plans to focus her work in a second term on making Oregon more affordable and standing up for people who need support. In a news conference Friday morning, Kotek thanked voters…
  • Kotek wins second term as national Democratic wave lifts Oregon governorPhilomath News · 3 days agoJoined by her wife, her closest aides and allies and the Democratic party apparatus that buoyed her to reelection Tuesday, Oregon Gov. Tina Kotek offered a prompt caveat: The path to improve the quality of life in Oregon has only just…
  • Oregon governor’s race: The math behind how Tina Kotek defeated Christine DrazanLincoln Chronicle · 3 days agoTina Kotek’s path to victory in Oregon’s governor’s race is a familiar one: rack up big margins in the state’s bluest Democratic counties and ride the wave to Mahonia Hall. But so far, she’s outperforming her predecessors in some…
  • Oregon 2026 Midterm Election Results@foxnews · 37 h agoNov 4 • 1:48 AM ET AP calls Oregon House District 6 for Andrea Salinas. Nov 4 • 1:24 AM ET AP calls Oregon House District 5 for Janelle Bynum. Nov 4 • 1:09 AM ET AP calls Oregon House District 4 for Val Hoyle. Nov 4 • 12:32 AM ET AP calls…
  • Oregon governor’s race: The math behind how Kotek defeated DrazanRogue Valley Times · 4 days agoPublished 12:10 pm Thursday, November 5, 2026 By Brad Schmidt/The Oregonian Tina Kotek’s path to victory in Oregon’s governor’s race is a familiar one: rack up big margins in the state’s bluest Democratic counties and ride the wave to…
  • Kotek reflects on reelection win as Drazan concedes Oregon governor racekgw.com · 5 days agoKGW Kotek reflects on reelection win as Drazan concedes Oregon governor race To stream KGW on your phone, you need the KGW app. Download the KGW app Next up in 5 Example video title will go here for this video Before You Leave, Check This…
  • Election results: AP calls Oregon governor's race for Kotek@13abc · 6 days agoWTVG Election results: AP calls Oregon governor's race for Kotek Denise Powell becomes second woman elected to represent Nebraska in Congress Democrat Roy Cooper wins North Carolina Senate seat, flipping a key GOP-held seat Incumbent Hal…
  • Kotek wins reelection bid for Oregon GovernorBaker City Herald · 6 days agoPublished 10:09 pm Tuesday, November 3, 2026 In a repeat of the 2022 election, Tina Kotek has won her bid for a second term as Oregon governor. Initial results Tuesday, Nov. 3, show Kotek leading with 51.75% of the vote, while her chief…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions