Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Josh Shapiro margin of victory
The odds
20.6median
137
Median 20.6Middle half 19.8 – 21.5
How the odds have moved
Median: 24.9 on Oct 20, 20.6 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shapiro, 4+ pts | 99% | 86¢ | $1.01 | 2.4K | ||
| Shapiro, 7+ pts | 99% | 85¢ | $1.01 | 6.2K | ||
| Shapiro, 10+ pts | 99% | 98¢ | 100¢ | 12.5K | ||
| Shapiro, 13+ pts | 98% | 93¢ | 100¢ | 4.5K | ||
| Shapiro, 16+ pts | 98% | ▲ 1 | 85¢ | $1.02 | 6.1K | |
| Shapiro, 19+ pts | 98% | 98¢ | $1.02 | 6.8K | ||
| Shapiro, 22+ pts | 11% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.8K | ||
| Shapiro, 25+ pts | 11% | ▲ 16 | 2¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 5.8K |
| Shapiro, 28+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 8.1K | |
| Shapiro, 31+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 3.7K | ||
| Shapiro, 34+ pts | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 11.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Josh Shapiro, Pennsylvania Governor
Search ›- Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro speaks on the future of the Democratic PartyDemocratic Governor Josh Shapiro discusses his reelection win in Pennsylvania and outlines the Democratic Party’s future as it is projected to gain full control of Congress following victories in both the House and Senate during the…
- Gov. Josh Shapiro faces challenge from Stacy Garrity in Pennsylvania's governor raceNovember 3, 2026 / 6:59 AM EST / CBS Pittsburgh It's Election Day in Pennsylvania and voters will be choosing whether to reelect Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro to a second term or to elect Republican challenger Stacy Garrity as the state's…
- Pennsylvania Governor Election Live Results 2026AP News AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell you…
- Josh Shapiro retains Pennsylvania governor’s seat(File Photo: Source for Photo: Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro gestures at a campaign event for Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris in Ambler, Pa., Monday, July 29, 2024. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke) Noah Haswell…
- Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro visits Goldie after viral protest he condemned as antisemiticDecember 6, 2023 / 1:15 PM EST / CBS Philadelphia PHILADELPHIA (CBS) -- Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro on Wednesday visited Israeli Jewish restaurant Goldie in Philadelphia days after protesters allegedly shouted antisemitic remarks…
- Video: LIVE: Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro speaks after midterm election resultsAbout LiveTube Ltd. 🌍 🚀 Welcome to LiveTube! We believe in the power of real-time content. Our platform allows users to broadcast their stories to the world, unfiltered and in real-time. We're passionate about providing a space where…
- Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro says Democrats' midterm election wins give a blueprint for the futureNovember 4, 2026 / 9:53 AM EST / CBS Pittsburgh Governor Josh Shapiro said that victories for the Democratic party in Pennsylvania in the midterm elections can provide a blueprint for how the party can win elsewhere. Shortly after the…
- Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro talks landslide reelectionCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Gov. Josh Shapiro…
- Josh Shapiro wins second term as Pennsylvania governor: APFOX 29 Philadelphia
- Josh Shapiro Wins Second Term as Pennsylvania GovernorDemocrat Josh Shapiro defeated Republican Stacy Garrity and Libertarian Ken Krawchuk to win reelection, unofficial results show. HARRISBURG, Pa. (EYT) — Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro won a second term on Tuesday, defeating Republican…
- Josh Shapiro reelected as Pennsylvania governorThe AP called the race at 8:01 p.m., just one minute after polls closed in Pennsylvania. Lt. Gov. Austin Davis will join Shapiro for his second term. "Pennsylvania, with your vision and your votes, you declared that we are ready to keep…
- Video Josh Shapiro addresses supporters after projected win in Pennsylvania governor's raceDemocratic Gov. Josh Shapiro addressed supporters after ABC News projected he will win reelection in the Pennsylvania governor's race. Josh Shapiro addresses supporters after projected win in Pennsylvania governor's race Democratic Gov…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions