Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Rhode Island Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
51%Reed, 39+ pts
1541
How the odds have moved
Reed, 17+ pts: 95% on Oct 20, 98% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed, 17+ pts | 98% | ▲ 6 | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 232 |
| Reed, 19+ pts | 98% | 96¢ | $1.02 | 15.00 | ||
| Reed, 21+ pts | 98% | 98¢ | $1.02 | 146 | ||
| Reed, 23+ pts | 98% | 0¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 349 | |
| Reed, 25+ pts | 98% | 0¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.3K | |
| Reed, 27+ pts | 88% | 4¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 871 | |
| Reed, 29+ pts | 88% | 4¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 930 | |
| Reed, 31+ pts | 83% | 0¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.0K | |
| Reed, 33+ pts | 83% | 0¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 261 | |
| Reed, 35+ pts | 83% | 5¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 617 | |
| Reed, 37+ pts | 73% | 2¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 871 | |
| Reed, 39+ pts | 51% | $1.96 | 66.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Rhode Island Senate
Search ›- Democrat Sen. Jack Reed Reelected in Rhode Island Senate RaceNearly 30-year incumbent Sen. Jack Reed (D-RI) secured his victory in his reelection bid against Republican Raymond McKay Tuesday night. Reed is among senators last year who considered the Democrat government shutdown “worth it” after…
- Sen. Jack Reed wins reelection for 6th term, keeping Rhode Island Senate seat blueOAN Staff Addie Davis7:17 AM – Tuesday, November 3, 2026 Senator Jack Reed won his sixth term in the United States Senate, defeating Republican opponent Raymond McKay in the Rhode Island election. A former Army officer, Reed served in the…
- Too Few Republicans Force Rhode Island Rules ChangeJust dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 194 “There will be so few Republicans in the Rhode Island Senate come January that the chamber will have to change its rules requiring one GOP member on every Senate committee,” Ocean State Media reports…
- Rhode Island’s Senate will have so few Republicans, it has to change its rulesThere will be so few Republicans in the Rhode Island Senate come January that the chamber will have to change its rules requiring one GOP member on every Senate committee. Democratic challengers Samantha Wilcox and Nelly Burdette ousted…
- Rhode Island GOP boss on election losses: Don't look at mePeriods of heavy rain will impact the region through the rest of Friday. Localized flooding is possible, with 2-4 inches of rain expected. (WJAR) — The leader of Rhode Island’s Republican Party is not taking the blame for an election…
- R.I. Senate begins judicial nominations process. House hearing on McKee’s Supreme Court pick pendingThe Rhode Island Senate returned Thursday for a rare fall session to begin the advice and consent process for eight magistrate nominations and formally read in Gov. Daniel J. McKee’s nominee to the state’s Supreme Court. “As we convene in…
- At age 18, Kane wins write-in campaign for Cumberland Fire District, putting him among state's youngest elected leadersCUMBERLAND – Eighteen-year-old Liam Joseph Kane has won his write-in campaign for the District 2 seat on the Cumberland Fire District, putting him among the youngest elected officials in Rhode Island history, according to a news release…
- Senators Lawson and Ciccone teaming up to try to lead R.I. Senate after president Dominick Ruggerio’s death - The Boston GlobePROVIDENCE — In the wake of Rhode Island Senate President Dominick J. Ruggerio’s death on Monday, the three main contenders vying to replace him are struggling to lock up the 19 votes needed to secure the position on their own. On…
- Lawmakers to start confirmation process for McKee's high court pickPROVIDENCE, R.I. (WJAR) — The clock has started on the confirmation process for outgoing Rhode Island Gov. Dan McKee’s pick for an open seat on the state Supreme Court. And lawmakers are planning hearings in the coming weeks. That 60-day…
- Steve Ahlquist (@steveahlquist)Press release: Nelly Burdette Wins Rhode Island Senate District 17, Bringing New Leadership to the State Senate Dr. Nelly Burdette has won the election for Rhode Island State Senate District 17, defeating incumbent Senator Thomas Paolino…
- RI Working Families Party: Working-class champions win across Rhode IslandDr. Nelly Burdette, a clinical psychologist and Lincoln mom, unseated Senate Deputy Minority Leader Thomas Paolino in Senate District 17. She will be the first woman to represent the district and the first psychologist in the Rhode Island…
- Wilcox unseats six-term Morgan in Senate District 34Samantha Wilcox, Democratic candidate for Rhode Island Senate District 34. Richmond Town Council President Samantha Wilcox has won the race for state Senate District 34 in an upset, ending Sen. Elaine J. Morgan’s 12-year tenure in the…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions