Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Tennessee Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
13.0median
238
Median 13.0Middle half 12.4 – 13.5
How the odds have moved
Median: 23.5 on Oct 20, 13.0 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hagerty, 4+ pts | 98% | ▲ 2 | 94¢ | 100¢ | 62.9K | |
| Hagerty, 6+ pts | 98% | ▼ 2 | 94¢ | 100¢ | 1.0K | |
| Hagerty, 8+ pts | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | 1.6K | ||
| Hagerty, 10+ pts | 97% | ▲ 1 | 95¢ | $1.03 | 2.2K | |
| Hagerty, 12+ pts | 95% | 91¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 62.00 | |
| Hagerty, 14+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.3K | |
| Hagerty, 16+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.3K | |
| Hagerty, 18+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $62.50 | 2.0K | |
| Hagerty, 20+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $62.50 | 34.9K | |
| Hagerty, 22+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $52.63 | 10.7K | |
| Hagerty, 24+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $52.63 | 12.8K | ||
| Hagerty, 26+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $52.63 | 2.1K | ||
| Hagerty, 28+ pts | 1% | 15¢ | $6.67 | 3.3K | ||
| Hagerty, 30+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $52.63 | 1.0K | ||
| Hagerty, 32+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $52.63 | 1.0K | ||
| Hagerty, 34+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $52.63 | 1.0K | ||
| Hagerty, 36+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $52.63 | 1.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Tennessee Senate
Search ›- Sen. Richard Briggs projected to be re-elected to Tennessee Senate District 7WBIR Sen. Richard Briggs projected to be re-elected to Tennessee Senate District 7 KNOXVILLE, Tenn. — Incumbent Richard Briggs is projected to win the seat for Tennessee Senate District 7, which represents parts of Knox County including…
- Tennessee Senate and House election results in 2026 midtermsTennessee midterm election results are in! Voters from across the Volunteer State selected their new slate of senators and representatives. Republicans have a supermajority in the Tennessee legislature, and Democrats are hoping to make…
- Trump-endorsed Sen. Bill Hagerty of Tenn. wins reelection to SenateOAN Staff Sophia Flores 7:46 AM – Wednesday, November 4, 2026 Republican U.S. Senator Bill Hagerty is victorious in the Tennessee Senate race. The race was called in favor of incumbent Senator Hagerty (R-Tenn.) when 99% of the total votes…
- Unofficial results for TN State House Districts 67, 68, 75. Who won?Polls have closed for Nov. 3 election, and a lot of local attention is focused on the voting tallies for Tennessee’s legislative races. In Montgomery County, voters are deciding who will represent them in Tennessee Senate District 23 and…
- Marsha Blackburn becomes first woman elected to Tennessee governor’s officeNASHVILLE, Tenn. (WSMV) - Voters have chosen Marsha Blackburn to be the next governor of Tennessee, making her the first woman elected to the state’s highest office. Blackburn, a Republican senator, will succeed Gov. Bill Lee, who has…
- Live Updates: Tennessee voters cast ballots for 2026 midterms on Election DayNASHVILLE, Tenn. (WSMV) - Tennesseans are making their selections for state and federal offices as the polls open on Election Day for the 2026 midterms. Races on the ballot include governor, U.S. Senate, U.S. House, Tennessee Senate and…
- Veterans Day Celebration and Remembrance in South PittsburgShare this: Share on Facebook (Opens in new window) Facebook Share on X (Opens in new window) X Share on Reddit (Opens in new window) Reddit Share on Tumblr (Opens in new window) Tumblr Share on Pinterest (Opens in new window) Pinterest…
- Williams, Sexton win state house elections, Garrett holds off CrowleyTennessee House of Representative members Ryan Williams and Cameron Sexton easily earned re-election to their seats during the state General Election Tuesday. Cookeville Republican Williams was re-elected for his seventh term in House…
- These members of Congress are heading to the governor’s mansionThe number of governors who once served in Congress is set to grow next year after several lawmakers won gubernatorial races across the country. The incoming governors include members who’ve served in Congress for decades and some with…
- 2026 election results: Roberts, Kumar reelected to state legislatureCity races for nine Robertson County municipalities, as well as local races in the state legislature were held last Tuesday night. Among the 17 municipal-wide races, all but one determined city commissioner and aldermen positions in their…
- Marsha Blackburn Wins Tennessee Governor’s Race, To Become State’s First Woman GovernorRepublican Marsha Blackburn defeats Democrat Jerri Green in Tennessee’s 2026 governor’s race, becoming the first woman elected to lead the state Marsha Blackburn defeated Democratic nominee Jerri Green in the November 3 Tennessee…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions