Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Texas Governor margin of victory
The odds
94%Hinojosa, 7+ pts
08
How the odds have moved
Hinojosa, 1+ pts: 22% on Oct 24, >99% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hinojosa, 1+ pts | >99% | 100¢ | 170.2K | |||
| Hinojosa, 2+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | 156.4K | ||
| Hinojosa, 3+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | 67.3K | ||
| Hinojosa, 4+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | 67.4K | ||
| Hinojosa, 5+ pts | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | 71.4K | ||
| Hinojosa, 6+ pts | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | 86.6K | ||
| Hinojosa, 7+ pts | 94% | ▼ 2 | 91¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 36.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Texas Governor
Search ›- Elon Musk warns of ‘oppressive’ government as newly elected Texas governor blocks land buysTexas Democrats haven’t even taken office yet, and they’re already taking aim at the man who brought two of America’s biggest companies to the Lone Star State. Gov.-elect Gina Hinojosa, who defeated Republican Gov. Greg Abbott by 7 points…
- Millions of dollars poured into prediction markets on election night, betting on Democratic control of Congress and Texas governor's raceMore than 87% of all election markets across Kalshi and Polymarket gave the right candidate at least a 90% chance of winning their race 24 hours before election night, a CNBC analysis found. Election night showed how traders reacted to…
- Texas governor-elect wants to halt data centers. Here's whyTexas Governor-elect Gina Hinojosa is calling for an immediate moratorium on data centers as she prepares to take office in January, citing concerns about water use, power infrastructure and the impact on rural communities. The proposal is…
- Texas Governor-Elect Gina Hinojosa Signals Closer Scrutiny of Elon Musk Without Tax UltimatumHinojosa, set to take office January 2027, signals stricter scrutiny of Musk projects but issued no verified tax deadline A claim circulating online says Texas Governor-elect Gina Hinojosa issued Elon Musk and Tesla a December deadline to…
- CoreWeave asks Texas governor-elect to let permitted data centres finishCEO Michael Intrator wrote to Gina Hinojosa, who campaigned to pause new data centres in the state. I cloud company CoreWeave has written to Texas Governor-elect Gina Hinojosa, offering to work with her team on data centre rules. The…
- Win for China? New Texas governor calls for freeze on land sale to Elon Musk’s SpaceXby WorldTribune Staff, November 8, 2026 — Real World News Days after her unlikely landslide victory and weeks before assuming office, Texas Governor-elect Gina Hinojosa picked up the phone and called the head of the Texas Parks and…
- Gina Hinojosa on her bipartisan plans as Texas GovernorCNN Gina Hinojosa on her bipartisan plans as Texas Governor Texas Gov-elect Gina Hinojosa joins The Lead.
- Texas Governor-elect Gina Hinojosa unveils official portal for administration job applicationsAUSTIN - Governor-elect Gina Hinojosa’s transition team launched a new website and online resume portal over the weekend, opening applications for individuals interested in serving within the incoming administration. The portal invites…
- GOP Lawmaker Seeks Limits on Texas Governor Before Hinojosa Takes OfficeNov 05, 2026 at 08:05 PM EST A Texas Republican lawmaker urged Governor Greg Abbott in a viral X post to call a special session to strip some of the governor's powers before Gina Hinojosa takes over the office in January, drawing a…
- Gina Hinojosa announces transition team after historic Texas governor winNovember 5, 2026 / 6:54 PM CST / CBS Texas The transition of power in Austin is underway after Gina Hinojosa's win Tuesday night ousted incumbent Gov. Greg Abbott. To put this in perspective, this will be the first transition in state…
- CoreWeave reaches out to Texas governor-elect on data centersIn a letter dated November 7, 2026, CoreWeave stated its support for the governor-elect's principles on ensuring data center growth benefits Texan communities without shifting infrastructure costs to ... CoreWeave (CRWV) has extended…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions