Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Virginia Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
22.5median
533
Median 22.5Middle half 21.7 – 23.6
How the odds have moved
Median: 21.6 on Oct 20, 22.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warner, 7+ pts | 99% | 99¢ | 670 | |||
| Warner, 9+ pts | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | 1.1K | ||
| Warner, 11+ pts | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | 1.2K | ||
| Warner, 13+ pts | 99% | 96¢ | $1.01 | 44.00 | ||
| Warner, 15+ pts | 99% | 98¢ | $1.01 | 439 | ||
| Warner, 17+ pts | 99% | 98¢ | $1.01 | 1.1K | ||
| Warner, 19+ pts | 99% | 71¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 1.9K | |
| Warner, 21+ pts | 99% | 75¢ | 99¢ | 2.6K | ||
| Warner, 23+ pts | 34% | $2.94 | 419 | |||
| Warner, 25+ pts | 2% | $60.61 | 800 | |||
| Warner, 27+ pts | 2% | $60.61 | 52.00 | |||
| Warner, 29+ pts | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.1K | |
| Warner, 31+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Virginia Senate
Search ›- Lance Wheeler elected to serve District 8 in West Virginia SenateWCHS WEST VIRGINIA (WCHS) — Lance Wheeler has been elected to represent District 8 in the West Virginia Senate, defeating Kim Hundley. The district covers a portion of Putnam and Kanawha Counties. Wheeler served the Kanawha County…
- Claypole, Williams capture West Virginia Senate seats affecting Monongalia CountyA voting sign is displayed at the Monongalia County elections office in the Mountaineer Mall in Morgantown. MORGANTOWN, W.Va. — Democratic candidates Chris Claypole and John Williams won West Virginia Senate races affecting Monongalia…
- Virginia Senate race: Democratic incumbent Mark Warner wins reelectionChicago Tribune RICHMOND, Va. — Democratic incumbent Mark Warner won election Tuesday to the U.S. Senate representing Virginia, defeating Republican Bert Mizusawa. Warner won a fourth term to the Senate, where he serves as vice chairman of…
- US Midterms: Trump's Approval Hits New Low, Democrats Secure Virginia Senate SeatAs polling concluded in the crucial US Midterm elections, President Donald Trump registered his lowest approval rating for a ... - Latest News. Find Breaking Headlines, Current and Latest international news at Lokmattimes.com As polling…
- Senator Mark Warner projected to win Virginia Senate raceThe National News Desk's special election coverage highlights midterms across the country with in-depth analysis starting at 8 p.m. EST. LIVE: Election results start rolling in as polls on the East Coast begin closing. From who's running…
- GOP Sen. Shelley Moore Capito Wins Reelection in West Virginia Senate RaceSen. Shelley Moore Capito (R-WV) won reelection in West Virginia's U.S. Senate race against her Democrat opponent Rachel Anderson. The post GOP Sen. Shelley Moore Capito Wins Reelection in West Virginia Senate Race appeared first on…
- West Virginia Senate District 1WCTV West Virginia Senate District 1 TPD: Man arrested following fatal Saturday morning shooting Perry Street sees fewer crowds, less business one week after shooting Republicans expected to hold state despite lower early voting numbers…
- US midterms election 2026 live: Mark Warner retains Virginia Senate seatFollow live coverage of the 2026 US midterm elections, including key congressional races, crypto-backed candidates and what the results could mean for digital asset regulation. Within the next few hours, we will begin to learn whether…
- Wheeler, Hundley face off for West Virginia Senate District 8 seatHURRICANE, W.Va (WCHS) — Republican candidate Lance Wheeler and Democratic candidate Kim Hundley are both vying for the Senate District 8 seat. Mark Hunt won in 2022 but was elected as State Auditor, leaving Kevan Bartlett to finish the…
- Warner, Mizusawa face voters in Virginia Senate race(The Center Square) – Virginia voters will decide Tuesday whether to reelect Democratic U.S. Sen. Mark Warner or send Republican Bert Mizusawa to Washington. Warner, first elected in 2008, is seeking a fourth six-year term and has said it…
- Barnhart, Green vie for unexpired West Virginia Senate termPARKERSBURG - Trenton Barnhart was appointed to the West Virginia Senate seat opened by the retirement of Donna Boley earlier this year, but in order to finish out the term, he'll have to prevail in Tuesday's election over Constitution…
- Virginia U.S. Senate Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsSee how votes are shifting as results come in across Virginia. Tab to the reporting unit selector to explore the map by keyboard. Press Escape to clear the selection. Shift to Democrats Shift to Republicans Arrow size indicates shift…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions