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Wisconsin Governor margin of victory
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 3.36 on Oct 20, 7.52 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crowley, 1+ pts | 99% | ▼ 1 | 97¢ | $1.01 | 29.1K | |
| Crowley, 4+ pts | 99% | 98¢ | $1.01 | 25.3K | ||
| Crowley, 5+ pts | 99% | ▲ 1 | 98¢ | $1.01 | 24.6K | |
| Crowley, 6+ pts | 97% | ▼ 2 | 94¢ | 100¢ | 20.5K | |
| Crowley, 7+ pts | 97% | 96¢ | $1.03 | 21.5K | ||
| Crowley, 8+ pts | 6% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 5.4K |
| Crowley, 10+ pts | 3% | 0¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 18.5K | |
| Crowley, 13+ pts | 3% | ▼ 5 | 10¢ | $10.20 | 6.1K | |
| Crowley, 16+ pts | 3% | 0¢ | 6¢ | $16.95 | 12.2K | |
| Crowley, 19+ pts | 1% | 16¢ | $6.25 | 11.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Wisconsin Governor
Search ›- Wisconsin Governor resultsLive results for the 2026 Wisconsin Governor general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For…
- Democrat David Crowley wins Wisconsin governor's race, defeating Trump ally Tom TiffanyNovember 3, 2026 / 11:33 PM EST / CBS News Moderate Democrat David Crowley won the Wisconsin governor's race, CBS News projects, defeating top Trump ally Republican Rep. Tom Tiffany in one of the most purple states in the country. Two-term…
- Wisconsin governor election results 2026Breaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The Justice Department…
- David Crowley elected Wisconsin governor as Democrats win control of LegislatureDemocrat David Crowley has been elected Wisconsin’s next governor, while his party has won control of both chambers of the state Legislature, giving Democrats a state government trifecta. Crowley defeated Republican Tom Tiffany 54% to 46%…
- Wisconsin Governor Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News The Justice Department plans to send a record number of election monitors to polling places in all 50 states for today's midterm elections While Democratic and Republican administrations have sent federal workers to observe…
- Democrat David Crowley wins the Wisconsin governor’s raceBREAKING: James Talarico defeats Republican Ken Paxton in Texas; Democrat Amy Acton defeats Vivek Ramaswamy to win Ohio’s race for governor Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley has won Wisconsin’s race for governor, NBC News projects…
- David Crowley bobblehead unveiled after historic Wisconsin governor’s raceNational Bobblehead Hall of Fame and Museum in Milwaukee unveiled the first bobblehead of David Crowley, who was elected the 47th governor of Wisconsin on Tuesday. With his victory over Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany, Crowley became…
- David Crowley elected Wisconsin governorChannel 3000 - Nowlan Injury Law Warner Park Weathercam - Madison November 3, 2026 @ 12:11 pm Tom Tiffany concedes to David Crowley in Wisconsin governor's race Wisconsin voters approve amendment barring government from discriminating…
- Democrat David Crowley elected Wisconsin governorDemocrat David Crowley defeated Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany in Tuesday’s race for Wisconsin governor, ensuring Democrats will hold the battleground state’s executive office for another four years. The latest developments from Madison…
- David Crowley declares victory in race for Wisconsin governorWSAW David Crowley declares victory in race for Wisconsin governor Fred Clark reacts to loss in 7th Congressional District race Josh Kaul wins re-election in race for Wisconsin Attorney General Democrats projected to flip both Senate and…
- David Crowley wins Wisconsin governor’s raceUSA Today Network //November 4, 2026// David Crowley wins Wisconsin governor’s race By: USA Today Network//November 4, 2026// By MOLLY BECK, MARY SPICUZZA and LAURA SCHULTE, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel Democratic candidate David Crowley has…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions