Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Wyoming Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
30.9median
2448
Median 30.9Middle half 30.4 – 31.5
How the odds have moved
Median: 36.5 on Oct 20, 30.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hageman, 26+ pts | >99% | 99¢ | 3.0K | |||
| Hageman, 28+ pts | 99% | 98¢ | 100¢ | 4.8K | ||
| Hageman, 30+ pts | 91% | ▲ 89 | 9¢ | $1.10 | 3.2K | |
| Hageman, 32+ pts | 2% | 29¢ | $3.45 | 1.6K | ||
| Hageman, 34+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | 1.6K | |||
| Hageman, 36+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | 3.6K | |||
| Hageman, 38+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | 4.0K | |||
| Hageman, 40+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | 4.8K | |||
| Hageman, 42+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | 4.2K | |||
| Hageman, 44+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | 5.2K | |||
| Hageman, 46+ pts | <1% | 1¢ | 4.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Wyoming Senate
Search ›- 2026 Wyoming Election ResultsFind your elected officials 2026 Senate Battle for Control > Wyoming Republican Sen. Cynthia Lummis is retiring after one term. Rep. Harriet Hageman is the GOP nominee and faces Democrat James Byrd, a former state legislator. Hageman is…
- How Obama Secretly Transformed Democrats Into SocialistsRuthless breaks down Barack Obama’s return to the campaign trail, his endorsement of Abdul El-Sayed, and the Democratic Party’s shift to the left. How Obama Secretly Transformed Democrats Into Socialists Ruthless breaks down Barack Obama’s…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions